KAL_II Loan Servicing Valuation Manual


Chapter 5 Segment and Group Simulation


This Chapter explains the Portfolio Valuation and the Group Valuation process.

Loan Status

Earnings

P&I Float

Impound Balances

Debt Repayment

Daily Cash Flows

Investment Ranking Criteria are presented and explained for the Portfolio and the Group results.

Expected Loan Life

Present Value

Net Present Value

Payback

Internal Rate of Return

Modified Internal Rate of Return

Duration

Evaluation Functions The KAL II Model performs many functions in addition to determining the present value. These functions are explained in this Chapter.

Group Definition Files We explain how to create a group file, how to evaluate this file and how to locate the valuation results.

A. INTRODUCTION

COMPUTER SCREENS

This section is a description of the computer output screens used by the system. Almost all data that is printed by the system is also available as output screens. The KAL II Model can be used interactively without printing any reports. You may want to run quick analyses of different servicing scenarios without generating printed reports. The Kal II program is designed to allow the user to ask many different questions and receive immediate results. The Model also provides output in the form of ASCII files, printed reports and spreadsheet files.

We have provided definitions for each output field and given references to where the fields are entered. If they are generated by the program we have provided an explanation of the calculation. This will allow you to trace each output field and determine where it was entered, how it is calculated and test the correctness of the result. Remember to always look through the rates and Factor Screens and the Backup Screens to determine if the data can be verified directly from one of those screens.

We have added many standard definitions to assist the Novice User in learning the intricacies of Mortgage Servicing Evaluation.

In this section of the manual we want to accomplish the following:

1. Examine and explain each computer output screen.

2. Define each of the output fields on the computer output screens.

4. Explain where to verify the correctness of the outputs.

3. Explain how the output fields are calculated.

5. List what input fields are used in the field calculations

6. List the Rate and Factor Screens available for each field.

7. List the Backup Screens available for each field.

B. PORTFOLIO SIMULATION

The Model will evaluate the portfolio segment based on the simulated future cash flows. The simulated cash are calculated based on the information you have provided to the program in the three data files; the economy, the firm, and the portfolio segment. Any changes in the data files will cause a change in the portfolio value. In addition, the time period that is entered in this section can affect the value.

The program will simulate through any month up to a maximum of 360 months. The full simulation of the entire loan life must occur for the program to calculate the entire present value. A simulation for less than the loan life will usually result in a present value that is substantially less. This simulation time period will also affect the internal rate of return and the breakeven variables.

We recommend that you simulate for the entire life of the portfolio. When you simulate for less than the entire loan life the value of the portfolios or group of portfolios is calculated ONLY for the period which was entered. The valuation results do not reflect the entire life of the portfolio only the shorter period. In some cases the valuation may not be performed at all.

We have provided the ability to simulate for less than the loan life for many reasons:

Input Fields

It is best to run the simulation for a small number of months until you are sure that the input fields are defined correctly. It is not unusual to enter data incorrectly and receive erroneous results. Start with a twelve month simulation and verify that the results are acting correctly using the backup screens.

Computer Processing Time

The greater the number of months used in the simulation the longer the simulation will run. This process can be very time consuming. When you are entering the initial data for a segment, test the data by running the simulation for twelve months and verifying the results.

"WHAT IF" Analysis

When you are performing "WhatIf" analysis only run the simulation over the time frame that you are concerned about. If you want to look at a five year forecast it is much quicker to simulate for only sixty months. The valuation results will not be valid.

Explanatory Purposes

For explanatory purposes, it is always easier to simply run the simulation for twelve months and use the results as a basis for the explanation. You can quickly examine different scenarios using this short simulation.

PORTFOLIO SIMULATION Screen {S61}

           Calculation             
       >      Simulate   Months    
                                   
           Results                 
                Reports            
                Loan Status        
                Earnings           
                P&I Float          
                Impounds           
                Debt Repayment     
                Cash Flows (Daily) 
                Valuation          
                With Debt Service  
                                   
           Proof of Results        
                Factors & Rates    
                Backup Details     
                                   
Quit this Menu          
Simulate Thru Month          360

Number of Months to simulate

Enter the number of the month through which you wan to program to simulate. All reports and investment variables will be calculated based on the number of months you enter.

         REPORT CONTENTS             Screen  {S62}           
                                                             
        Include the following items:                         
                                                             
        1. Economic Data                 Y                   
        1. Firm Data                     N                   
        1. Portfolio Data                N                   
        1. Earnings by Year              N                   
        1. P&I Float by Year             N                   
        1. Impounds by Year              N                   
        1. Valuation                     Y                   
        1. Debt Repayment by Year        N                   
        2. Monthly Results Data File     N                   
        2. Annual Results Data File      N                   
           Do Plot Now          (Not Used)                   
                                                             
        3. Pause Before Printing Reports Y                   



There are three different functions of this screen:

1. Printed Reports Each report on this screen can be selected to print in a combined report. Enter "Y" if you wish the report to print (printer or file). Enter a "N" if you do not want the report to print.

2. ASCII Data Files The program will generate an ASCII file of the valuation data. Chapter 16 describes the actual fields in the file and the file layout. There are three files generated: monthly data, annual data and debt repayment data. Enter a "Y" if you want to generate the data file. These files can be very large (400K) for a full 360 month simulation. Be certain you have sufficient disk space available before you select this feature.

3. Pause Before Printing This field gives you the option of deciding which reports print each time you access this menu. If you select "N", the program will not pause before generating the reports and the ASCII data files. If you select "Y" the program will pause and allow you to select which reports to print. The field can also be selected in the System Environment section of the program.

LOAN STATUS Screen {S63}

   All Loans in Original Portfolio                          
     1.  Month              1         2         3           
     2.  Terminated          0.00000   0.00000   0.00779   
     3.  Paying Off          0.00000   0.00654   0.00654   
     4.  Foreclosing         0.00000   0.00125   0.00125   
     5.  Surviving           1.00000   0.99221   0.98442 
                             
     6.  Total               1.00000   1.00000   1.00000   
                                                           
        As a Percentage of Surviving Loans:                
    7.  Good Loan            0.90000   0.89953   0.89925   
                                                           
    8.  Del 1 Mon            0.03000   0.02993   0.02992   
    9.  Del 2 Mon            0.02500   0.02519   0.02513   
    10. Del 3 Mon            0.02000   0.02016   0.02031   
    11. GT 90 Day            0.01500   0.01512   0.01524   
    12. Foreclose            0.01000   0.01008   0.01015   
                             
    13. Total Delinquent     0.10000   0.10047   0.10075    
                                                           
    14. Mortgage Bal       500000000 495904521 491814540   
                                                           
    15.  First Month  (0)  Every (1) Months  for none




ALL LOANS IN ORIGINAL PORTFOLIO

the first set of totals apply to all loans in the portfolio.

1. Month The analysis can only be for months. If you want to see the ending ratios for each year then select (12) in Line 15.

2. Terminated This is the accumulated total of all loans that have paid off or have been Foreclosed. The total is used to balance the Portfolio as time passes. These totals are also used to be certain that all loans are accounted for.

3. Paying Off This is the percentage of loans that have completed the Payoff process in the current month. This is the accumulated total of all payoffs from all Loan Status categories. (Backup Details Chapter 8 A.2)

4. Foreclosing This is the percentage of loans that have completed Foreclosure in the current month. It is the OFF BOOKS loan status category. Since it may take man months for a loan to reach foreclosure, new portfolios will often not show any foreclosures for the first year. (Backup Details Chapter 8 A.4)

5. Surviving The Surviving Loans for a particular month areas:

ONE (1) Less Terminated less Paying Off less Foreclosing.

6. Total Loans The total of items one through four should always equal ONE. The program always balances back to .01 percent of the beginning portfolio. This is a program control to be certain all loans are always accounted for.

AS A PERCENTAGE OF SURVIVING LOANS

7. Good Loan This is the percentage of the current portfolio that is not delinquent. Good Loan plus Total Delinquent (Line 13) should equal one hundred percent (100%). (Backup Details Chapter 8 A.1)

8. Del 1 Mon The fraction of the Surviving Loans (Line 4) that are in this Loan Status Category. (Backup Details Chapter 8 A.3)

9. Del 2 Mon The fraction of the Surviving Loans (Line 4) that are in this Loan Status category. (Backup Details Chapter 8 A.3)

10. Del 3 Mon The fraction of the Surviving Loans (Line 4) that are in this Loan Status category. (Backup Details Chapter 8 A.3)

11. GT 90 Day The fraction of the surviving loans that are in this Loan Status Category. Remember that this category is longer than one month. (Backup Details Chapter 8 A.3)

12. Foreclose The fraction of the Surviving Loans that are currently in Foreclosure. This fraction includes loans that have been sent to foreclosure in the current month and loans that are still in the foreclosure process. Loans which have completed foreclosure in the current month are shown in the foreclosing category on Line 3. (Backup Details Chapter 8 A.3)

13. Total Delinquent Loans This is the total fraction of all loans that are delinquent and in foreclosure. It is the total of all loan status categories other than Good Loan.

14. Mortgage Balance The total existing balance of all loans still on the books.

15. Entry Fields

First Month (0) This is the first Month that you want displayed on the computer screen. You can "roll" forward to future months or backward to previous months by using the {PgUp} or {PgDwn} keys.

Every (2) By selecting "2" the program will display every SECOND month. In this instance the program will display months 1,3,5,7, and 9. If you wanted to see the year-end Ratios you would enter "12" in this field. This would give the 12th month for five years.

{Esc} This will cause the program to start at the first month and show every month after that.

MONTHLY EARNINGS Screen {S64}

  1.  Month (Year)              1           2           3        
                                                                  
  2.  Service Fees          180414.97   179003.59   177599.05     
  3.  Late Fees              52190.79    51862.24    51523.67     
  4.  Ancillary Income        7990.78     7979.59     7949.32     
  5.  Earn on P&I Float       4908.51    13016.62    12967.85     
  6.  Earn on Impounds       23817.70    27583.14    29780.12     
                                                                  
  7.  Subtotal (Income)     269322.75   279445.18   279820.02     
                                                                  
  8.  Servicing Costs        26755.56    26635.50    26514.57     
  9.  Delinquency Costs      38788.61    38643.71    38491.45     
  10. Payoff Costs            3283.13     3289.86     3296.56     
  11. Foreclosure Costs      27594.38    27499.51    27480.22     
  12. Cost of Advances        3602.13     2944.53     2916.40     
  13. Impound Interest Paid      0.00        0.00        0.00     
                                                                  
  14. Subtotal(Costs)       100023.81    99013.10    98699.20     
                                                                  
  15. Operating Income      169298.93   180432.08   181120.82     
  16. less Amortization      62833.33    62833.33    62833.33     
  17. less Income Tax        37262.96    41159.56    41400.62     
                                                                  
  18. Net Income             69202.64    76439.19    76886.86     
                                                                  
  19. Cash Flow             132035.97   139272.52   139720.20     
                                                                  
  20. First Period (0) Every (1)  Month/Year (M/Y) PerLoan (Y/N) 

1. MONTH/YEAR The analysis will be for either months or years depending on what is selected in Line 20.

2. Service Fees This is the total of all service fees paid from current loans, loans coming current during the month and loans paying off during the month. (Backup Details Chapter 8 B.1)

3. Late Fees This is the total of all Late Fees received from every Loan that has come current during the month or that has paid off from a state of delinquency. We assume that all Loans paying off will pay a fraction of the Late Fees due. It is possible that late fees may be waived or not collected for some reason. (Backup Details Chapter 8.B.2)

4. Ancillary Income This is the total of the Ancillary Income received from all loans and the borrowers' premium from optional insurance programs. (Backup Details Chapter 8.B.3

5. Earnings on P&I Float This is the imputed interest earnings on the average monthly P&I account balance. (Backup Details Chapter 8.B.4)

6. Earnings on Impounds This is the imputed interest earnings on the combined property tax, Hazard insurance and insurance premium Impounds' monthly average bank balances. (Backup Details Chapter 8.B.5)

7. Subtotal (Income) This is the total of all income received from the portfolio in the current month. The program may also display the annual earnings totals. These totals are calculated by summing the individual monthly amounts. The program does not calculate the yearly amounts in separate calculations.

8. Servicing Costs This is the total servicing cost for all loans still on the books at the beginning of the period adjusted for the growth in servicing costs factor. (Backup Details Chapter 8.C.1)

9. Delinquency Costs This is the additional costs to service all loans in all delinquent loan states plus the cost of the monthly delinquency notice. Each of these costs are adjusted by a relevant price index or adjusted according to the growth table entered by the user. (The monthly delinquent notice cost may also include the cost of servicing loans which have not paid by the late notice date) (Backup Details Chapter 8

C.1, C.2 Delinquent Servicing)

10. Payoff Costs This is the amount calculated by multiplying the cost to process a payoff by the number of loans paying off from each loan state. Payoff Costs are adjusted for inflation in the same manner as the servicing costs using the same table. Payoff Costs may also include an interest differential cost. This is the difference between the interest the mortgagor paid and the interest paid by the mortgagee to the investor. (Backup Details Chapter 8.C.4)

11. Foreclosure Costs This is the total of all specific costs of foreclosing loans. It does not include the servicing costs for a foreclosure. For a complete examination of the calculation refer to the Backup Detail Chapter. (Backup Details Chapter 8.C.5)

12. Costs of Advances This is the monthly interest charge that results from bank borrowings or company funds used to make the P&I remittances to the investors. (Backup Details Chapter 8.C.6)

13. Impound Interest Paid This is the total amount paid to the mortgagors on their impound accounts. The program calculates the monthly interest due and shows the calculation on the backup screen. The amount is only expensed according to the schedule input by the user in Chapter 4 Impounds

(Backup Details Chapter 8.C.7)

14. Subtotal Costs The total of lines 8 through 13.

15. Operating Income This is the income from the portfolio before amortization, taxes, and interest. (Line 7 less Line 14)

16. Amortization The amount of amortization calculated by the program using the method entered in Chapter 4 Amortization. It is subtracted from operating income in order to determine net income before taxes. The program uses net income before taxes to determine the income tax amount.

Net Income Before Taxes = Operating Income Amortization

17. Income Tax The tax calculated using the marginal tax rate for the current Period and multiplying times net income before taxes.

Income Tax = Marginal Tax Rate * Net Income Before Taxes

18. Net Income = Operating Income Amortization Income Taxes

19. Cash Flow Cash Flow is calculated by adding back amortization (Line 16) to net income (Line 187). This is the cash flow that will be used in the preDebt present value analysis. The present value discount factors can be found on the rates and factors screen in Chapter 7.D.

20. Status Line Definitions

First Period (0) The first month which will show on the computer screen.

Every (1) This will tell the program which months you want to appear on the screen. Entering "3" will show every third month of the analysis.

Months/Years (M/Y) You can show either annual totals or monthly totals on the Screen and in the reports.

"Y" An entry of "Y" will show Annual Totals in the Columns.

"M" An entry of "M" will show months on the Screen.

Per Loan (Y/N) The Screen will show the amounts in either Dollar Balances or Amounts per Loan.

"Y" Show amounts in Dollars per Loan

"N" Show amounts in Dollars for the period.

ANNUAL EARNINGS PER LOAN Screen {S64B}

   Annual Earnings            1           2           3         4   
                           
   Service Fees              218         216         215       213  
   Late Fees                  63          63          61        61  
   Ancillary Income           10          17          22        23  
   Earn on P&I Float          15          12          14        15  
   Earn on Impounds           29          36          43        45  
   Subtotal (Income)         336         344         355       357  
                                                                    
   Servicing Costs            33          34          36        37  
   Delinquency Costs          48          50          51        52  
   Payoff Costs                4           2           3         3  
   Foreclosure Costs          35          36          42        35  
   Cost of Advances            4           7           7         6  
   Impound Int Paid            0           0           0         0  
   Subtotal(Costs)           123         129         138       133  
                                                                    
   Operating Income          212         215         218       224  
   less Amortization          79          86          92        98  
   less Income Tax            47          45          44        44  
   Net Income                 86          84          82        82  
   Cash Flow                 166         170         174       180  
                                                                    
   First Period    0   Every   1  Months/Years Y   Per Loan Y      



This is an example of the earnings per loan screen. The results can be shown as monthly earnings per loan or as annual earnings per loan.

MONTHLY PRINCIPAL AND INTEREST FLOAT Screen {S65}

                                                                 
  1.  Month                      1           2           3       
                                                                 
  2.  Previous Balance           0.00  1876481.18  1874524.68    
  3.  Regular Payments     3975618.99  3942444.02  3910166.77    
  4.  Delinquent Payments   515043.70   514520.81   513328.57    
  5.  Payoff  Payments     3336827.51  3331262.88  3325647.12    
  6.  Foreclosure Adjust     74746.97    74747.06    74747.25    
                                                                 
  7.   Remittances         4599813.72  7864931.27  7823633.23    
                                                                 
  8.  Ending Balance       1876481.18  1874524.68  1874781.15    
                                                                 
  9.  Average P&I Bal      1115571.05  2958322.98  2947239.48    
                                                                 
  10. Average Advance       540319.56   441679.94   437460.23    
                                                                 
  11. Biggest Advance      2252310.31  2237825.47  2220763.03    
  12. First Period   (0)   Every (1)   Months/Years (M/Y)       

These amounts can be verified on the daily cash flow screen in Chapter 5

1. Month/Year The analysis will be for either months or years depending on what is selected in the Status Line (line 12). If the analysis is for the year then the beginning and ending balances will be for the year.

2. Previous Balance Bank Balance from the prior Period (Line 8). In the first period of the model this amount will be zero (0). It is important to note that the beginning and ending advance account balances are not shown on this screen.

3. Regular Payments The total amount of principal and interest payment received from the GOOD LOAN Category. (Backup Details Chapter 8.D.1

4. Delinquent Payments The total of all principal and interest payments received from delinquent loans coming good. Each time a loan returns to the GOOD LOAN status we assume that the mortgagor has made all necessary P&I and T&I payments. (Backup Details Chapter 8.D.2

5. Payoff Payments This is the total P&I received during the month from payoffs. It is the total of the current payment due, the principal balance due as of the payment date and the interest paid by the mortgagor for the month calculated according to the data provided by the user in Chapter 4.K Payoffs. (Backup Details Chapter 8.D.3

6. Foreclosure Adjustment The amount of funds being repaid into the advance account as a result of loans completing foreclosure during the month. Funds received should bring the advance amounts for those loans to zero. The funds may come from:

a. Investors

b. Insurance Companies as a result of PMI payments

c. Federal insurance agencies as a result of MIP premiums.

7. Remittances This is the total amount of funds that is remitted to the Investors during the month. It may include:

a. Remittances from all current loans and loans coming current less any accrued advances on the loans. (Backup Details Chapter 8.E.1

b. Remittances due from all delinquent loans (P&I Advances due). (Backup Details Chapter 8.E.2

c. Remittances from current month payments on loans paying off. (Backup Details Chapter 8.E.3

d. Remittances of principal balances and extra interest payments from loans paying off. (Backup Details Chapter 8.E.4

8. Ending Balance The end of the month bank balance in the P&I Account. It is the total of Line 2 through Line 6 less Line 7. The previous Balance of Month 2 is equal to the Ending Balance of Month 1.

9. Average P&I Balance This is the daily average P&I Bank Balance for the current month as determined from the Daily Cash Flow screen shown in Chapter 5.H.

10. Average Advance The daily average P&I Advance for the full month using a 30 day month. If the Advance was $100 for six days and zero for the remainder of 24 days, the Average for the month would be:

100 + 100 + 100 + 100 + 100 + 100 + 0 = $600

Average Advance = $20 = $600 / 30 days

11. Biggest Advance The largest advance amount on any single day of the month.

12. Status Line

First Period (0) The first month or year which will show on the computer screen columns.

Every (1) This will tell the program which months you want to appear in the screen columns. Entering a "3" will show every third month of the analysis.

Months/Years (M/Y) You can show either Annual Totals or Monthly Totals on the screen and in the Reports.

"Y" An entry of "Y" will show annual totals in the columns.

"M" An entry of "M" will show monthly totals in the columns

Per Loan (Y/N) The screen will show the amounts in either Dollar Balances or Amounts per Loan.

"Y" Show amounts in Dollars per Loan

"N" Show amounts in Dollars for the period.

ANNUAL PRINCIPAL AND INTEREST FLOAT Screen {S65A}

                                                                   
      Year                    1         2         3         4      
  2.  Previous Balance          0   1905302    451387    698908    
  3.  Regular Payments   45610506  42158639  40436839  37991682    
  4.  Delinq  Payments    5999050   5548110   4365795   3792911    
  5.  Payoff  Payments   39676287  20656798  20226774  19792915    
  6.  Foreclosure Adj      896512    848087    928619    731829    
  7.  Remittances        88851110  70665548  65710505  62288294    
  8.  Ending Balance      1905302    451387    698908    719952    
                                                                   
  9.  Average P&I Bal     2764778   1740302   1677934   1682921    
  10. Average Advance      424946    701608    556015    447266    
  11. Biggest Advance     2252310   2562525   2348444   1922540    
                                                                   
      First Period    0   Every   1  Months/Years Y               
                                                                     

2. Previous Balance The beginning and ending year balance.

The annual twelve month total or average for each of these accounts.

3. Regular Payments

4. Delinquent Payments

5. Payoff Payments

6. Foreclosure Adjustment

7. Remittances

9. Average P&I Balance

10. Average Advance The monthly average of the twelve monthly average advances.

11. Biggest Advance The single largest monthly advance for the twelve month period.

IMPOUND SCREENS Screen {S66}

  1.  Month (Year)        1           2           3                 
                                                                    
      Property Tax        
  2.  Previous Balance     2493243.24  2973922.95  3447059.55       
  3.  Plus Received         497040.82   492744.80   488471.92       
                                                                    
  4.  Less Paid Out              0.00        0.00        0.00       
  5.  Less Refunded          16361.11    19608.20    22846.71       
                                                                    
  6.  Ending Balance       2973922.95  3447059.55  3912684.76       
                                                                    
      Insurance         
  7.  Previous Balance     2306756.76  2301180.02  2592429.24       
  8.  Plus Received         300323.08   299121.96   298711.17       
                                                                    
  9.  Less Paid Out         300000.00        0.00   298286.50       
  10. Less Refunded           5899.82     7872.74     5904.39       
                                                                    
  11. Ending Balance       2301180.02  2592429.24  2586949.53       
                                                                    
      Extra Premiums        
  12. Previous Balance       25000.00     9334.97    98512.36       
  13. Plus Received           9334.97     9301.69     9269.37       
                                                                    
  14. Less Paid Out          24937.90        0.00    18449.90       
  15. Less Refunded             62.10      124.30       62.46       
                                                                    
  16. Ending Balance          9334.97    18512.36     9269.37       
                                                                    
  17.  First Period   (0)   Every (1)   Months/Years (M/Y)         


1. Month/Year Period of time that the screen balances will represent. The column balances are either for a month or for a year. If you have selected an interval other than one (1) the program does not accumulate the missing periods. The program only shows the amounts for the period of one month or one year.

PROPERTY TAX REPORT

2. Previous Balance Determined by either:

a. Beginning Balance for the program is determined by the screen in Chapter 4.H on Impounds.

b. In the second period through to the end of the program the amount of the Prior Period Ending Balance (Line 6).

3. Plus Received Tax payments received during the month or the year. (Backup Details Chapter 8.F.1

4. Less Paid Out Taxes paid out will only appear in those months that are specified by the user in Chapter 4.H, Impound Payment Schedules. (Backup Details Chapter 8.F.2

5. Less Refunded Amounts paid back to the Mortgagors through Payoffs. Whenever a loan pays off the Mortgagor receives a refund of his impound balances unless the mortgagor is delinquent. (Backup Details Chapter 8.F.3

6. Ending Balance The Total of Line 2 and Line 3 less Line 4 and Line 5. This is used as the Beginning Balance for the Next Period.

HAZARD INSURANCE REPORT

7. Previous Balance is determined in one of two ways:

a. Month One Beginning Balance for the program is determined by the information entered in Chapter 4.H on Impounds.

b. Month Two In the second period through to the end of the program the amount of the prior period ending Balance (Line 11.b)

8. Plus Received The total of Hazard Insurance premiums received during the month or the year. (Backup Details Chapter 8.G.1

9. Less Paid Out Amounts Paid Out will only appear in those months that are specified by the user in Chapter 4.H, Impound Payment Schedules. Hazard insurance payments are likely to pay evenly during the year with a heavier concentration during the summer months. (Backup Details Chapter 8.G.2

10. Less Refunded Amounts paid back to the Mortgagors through Payoffs. Whenever a loan pays off the Mortgagor receives a refund of his escrow balances unless the mortgagor is delinquent. (Backup Details Chapter 8.G.3

11. Ending Balance The Total of Line 7 and Line 8 less Line 9 and Line 10. This is used as the beginning balance for the next period.

EXTRA PREMIUMS REPORT

The difference between this impound account and the other two accounts is that there is no advance made for this account. If the mortgagor does not have sufficient impound amounts to pay the premiums then the premium is not paid.

12. Previous Balance is determined in one of two ways:

a. Month One Beginning Balance for the program is determined by the information entered in Chapter 4.H on Impounds.

b. Month Two In the second period through to the end of the program the amount of the Prior Period Ending Balance (Line 16).

13. Plus Received The total of Optional Insurance premiums received during the month or the year. (Backup Details Chapter 8.H.1

14. Less Paid Out Amounts Paid Out will only appear in those months that are specified by the user in Chapter 4.H, impound payment schedules. Optional insurance payments are likely to pay evenly during the year. (Backup Details Chapter 8.H.2

15. Less Refunded Amounts paid back to the mortgagors through payoffs. Whenever a loan pays off the mortgagor receives a refund of all his impound balances. (Backup Details Chapter 8.H.3

16. Ending Balance The total of Line 12 and Line 13 less Line 14 and Line 15. This is used as the beginning balance for the next period.

17. Status Line

First Period (0) The first month or year which will show on the computer screen columns.

Every (1) This will tell the program which months you want to appear in the screen columns. Entering a "3" will show every third month of the analysis.

Months/Years (M/Y) You can show either annual totals or Monthly Totals on the screen and in the reports.

"Y" An entry of "Y" will show annual totals in the columns.

"M" An entry of "M" will show monthly totals in the columns

Per Loan (Y/N) The screen will show the amounts in either Dollar Balances or Amounts per Loan.

"Y" Show amounts in Dollars per Loan

"N" Show amounts in Dollars for the period.

MONTHLY DEBT REPAYMENT Screen {S67}

                                                                  
   1. Month (Annual)        1           2           3             
                                                                  
   2. Cash Account Bal         0.00    91410.97   190504.12       
   3. x Rate Earned         0.00750     0.00750     0.00750       
                                                                  
   4. Before Tax Earnings      0.00      685.58     1428.78       
                                                                  
   5. x (1  tax rate)       0.65000     0.65000     0.65000       
                                                                  
   6. Earned After Tax         0.00    91856.60   191432.83       
                                                                  
   7. Cash + Earnings          0.00    91856.60   191432.83       
   8. Net Cash/Service    132035.97   139272.52   139720.20       
                                                                  
   9. Available Cash      132035.97   231129.12   331153.02       
                                                                  
   10.  Principal Repaid       0.00        0.00        0.00       
   11.  Interest on Debt   62500.00    62500.00    62500.00       
   12. + Tax Shield        21875.00    21875.00    21875.00       
                                                                  
   13. Ending Cash Bal     91410.97   190504.12   290528.02       
                                                                  
   14. Debt Balance      7500000.00  7500000.00  7500000.00       
   15. less Repayment          0.00        0.00        0.00       
                                                                  
   16. New Balance       7500000.00  7500000.00  7500000.00       
                                                                  
   17.  First Period   (0)   Every (1)   Months/Years (M/Y)      
                                                                    



1. Month/Year The program will show Months or Years depending on what is selected in Line 17. The program will only show the totals and balances for the month or year specified. If alternating periods are selected in Line 17, the program will not accumulate the in between months or years.

2. Cash Account Balance In the first month of the analysis the cash balance is assumed to be zero. During the following months the ending balance from the prior month (Line 13) is used as the beginning balance for the next month.

REINVESTMENT RATE

3. Rate Earned This is the reinvestment rate entered in Chapter 3. The rate is applied to the total of all available cash at the end of the month.

4. Before Tax Earnings The amount earned on the available cash balance using the reinvestment rate to determine the interest.

5. (1 Tax Rate) The amount of income (as a fraction) that remains after taxes are paid. The tax rate is the marginal rate for the period being investigated.

6. Earned After Tax The After Tax Earnings of the cash account.

7. Cash + Earnings The total of the cash account and the after tax earnings on the cash account. (Line 2 + Line 5)

8. Net Cash Service The total amount of cash generated from the servicing operation. This is the significant figure for purposes of the present value analysis. The amount is explained very clearly in Chapter 5.

9. Available Cash The sum of the cash account balance at the beginning of the month, the prior month's after tax earnings on the cash account and the current month's addition (from servicing) to the account.

10. Principal Repaid The principal repayment amount on the debt. The debt is the debt resulting from the purchase of the portfolio being investigated. This is considered the "New" debt.

11. Interest on Debt The interest on the debt which resulted from this portfolio purchase.

12. Tax Shield The tax savings resulting from the interest deduction. The interest paid in Line 10 is multiplied by the marginal tax rate for the current period to determine the tax shield. This amount is added back to the cash account.

13. Ending Cash Balance The combined total of the following:

Plus Beginning Cash Account Balance

After tax earnings on Cash Account

Cash from Servicing

Tax Shield

less: Principal Repayment

Interest on Debt

 

Ending Cash Balance

14. Debt Balance The current outstanding amount of Debt. This does not include the debt in Chapter 3 Fixed Costs.

15. Repayment The amount of the principal repaid every month. Often there will only be an annual repayment. If a 12 month repayment schedule was selected then the amount will appear every 12 months. (Chapter 4 Debt Financing)

16. New Balance The prior month/year debt balance less the current month's principal repayment.

17. Status Line (See Chapter 5 Earnings for a complete description)

DAILY CASH FLOWS Screen {S68}

                                                                    
  1.    2.     3.      4.      5.     6.       7.     8.     9.     
 Day  Reg   Delinq   Prep    F/C    Clear   Repay Advance Bank     
                                                   Balance Balance  
                                                   1425942       0  
  1 198781      0   83421   2492        0   284693 1141249       0  
  2 198781      0   83421   2492        0   284693  856556       0  
  3 198781      0   83421   2492        0   284693  571863       0  
  4 198781      0   83421   2492        0   284693  287169       0  
  5 198781      0   83421   2492        0   284693    2476       0  
  6 198781      0   83421   2492        0     2476       0  282217  
  7 198781      0   83421   2492        0        0       0  566910  
  8 198781      0   83421   2492        0        0       0  851603  
  9 198781      0   83421   2492        0        0       0 1136297  
 10 198781      0   83421   2492        0        0       0 1420990  
 11  99390      0   83421   2492        0        0       0 1606292  
 12  99390      0   83421   2492        0        0       0 1791595  
 13  99390      0   83421   2492        0        0       0 1976898  
 14  99390      0   83421   2492        0        0       0 2162201  
 15  99390      0   83421   2492        0  2252310 2252310 4599814  
 16  99390      0   83421   2492  2759888   185303 2067008 1839925  
 17  99390      0   83421   2492   114995   185303 1881705 1724930  
 18  99390      0   83421   2492   114995   185303 1696402 1609935  
 19  99390      0   83421   2492   114995   185303 1511099 1494939  
 20  99390      0   83421   2492   114995   185303 1325797 1379944  
 21  99390      0  166841   2492   229991   268723 1057073 1149953  
 22  99390      0  166841   2492   229991   268723  788350  919963  
 23  99390      0  166841   2492   229991   268723  519626  689972  
 24  99390      0  166841   2492   229991   268723  250903  459981  
 25  99390      0  166841   2492    76664   250903       0  401138  
 26  99390      0  166841   2492    76664        0       0  593198  
 27  99390      0  166841   2492    76664        0       0  785258  
 28  99390      0  166841   2492    76664        0       0  977318  
 29  99390      0  166841   2492    76664        0       0 1169378  
 30  99390 515044  166841   2492    76664        0       0 1876481  
    
   3975610 515044 3336830  74760  4599816  1425941       0 1876481  

This page is actually a copy of two consecutive daily cash flow screens. We included it in this manner to show how the daily cash flows could be reconciled to the other output screens.

1. Day - Day of the month on which transactions take place.

2. Regular The daily total of all P&I payments received from mortgagors who were current at the beginning of the current month. (Backup screen 8 P&I Regular Payments)

3. Delinq The daily total of all P&I payments received from any delinquent account coming good during the month. (Backup Screen P&I Regular Payments)

4. Prepay The daily P&I total received from all loans paying off from any loan state. (Backup Screen P&I Regular Payments)

5. Foreclosure The amount of funds being repaid into the advance account as a result of loans completing foreclosure during the month. Funds received should bring the advance amounts for those loans to zero. The funds may come from:

a. Investors

b. Insurance Companies as a result of PMI payments

c. Federal insurance agencies as a result of MIP premiums. (Backup Screen 8.D.4 Foreclosure Adjustment

6. Total Clearing The daily amount of investor remittance checks that have cleared the bank account. The investors may not all cash their checks at the same time. As a result the remittances may clear the bank on any day of the month from the day the check was mailed through to the last day of the month. The remittance clearing pattern is set up by the user in Chapter 4 Remittance Processing.

7. Repay The amount that is repaid to the Advance Account. The program assumes that the advance is repaid from any available cash in the Bank Balance (Col 9). It is possible for the Bank Balance to be positive and still not have the advance account repaid. The investor may require that the funds for the total remittance be available even though the remittances checks have not been received by the bank. This causes a positive advance and a positive bank balance.

8. Advance The daily amount of the P&I Advance needed to keep the Bank Balance from becoming negative. The program assumes that the money is drawn as needed to keep the Bank Balance from going negative (Overdrawn) and is paid back from any available funds in the Bank Balance. The advance account could be borrowed funds or funds advanced from the companies own account.

Chapter 5 P&I Average Advance Line 10

Chapter 5 P&I Biggest Advance Line 11

9. Bank Balance The P&I Advance Account which earns interest during the month. (Chapter 5 P&I Average P&I Balance Line 9)

Financial Results Before Debt Service

                     Portfolio Simulation                          
            Financial Results  Before Debt Service                
                                                                   
                    Tax Rate    Expensed +  Amortized  =  Total    
Purchase Price  :              2,500,000    7,500,000   10,000,000 
Conversion Cost :                160,000       40,000      200,000 
Total           :              2,660,000    7,540,000   10,200,000 
Tax Savings     :    0.3500      931,000                   931,000 
                                                                   
Net Initial Cost                                         9,269,000 
                                                                   
                                                                   
Simulation Per :    348 Months    Expected Loan Life: 150.08 Month 
Pay Back       :    6.5 Years     Economic Duration :   5.39 Years 
                                                                   
Present Value   : 10,805,389   2.161%  Discount Rate A/T:   8.00%  
Net Initial Cost:  9,269,000   1.854%  Nominal IRR      :  11.04%  
Net Present Val :  1,536,389           Modified IRR     :   6.80%  
BreakEven Price: 12,098,311   2.420%                              
                                                                   
Balance :   500,000,000   Loans: 10,000    Serv Fee:  0.440%       
Avg Bal :        50,000   Rate : 11.000%   Maturity:   348 Month   


1. Total Purchase Price The program uses both the portion expensed and the portion amortized to calculate the first year tax savings. For tax purposes a portion of the purchase price may be expensed in the first year.

Total Price = Portion Expensed + Portion Amortized

2. Purchase Price The fraction of Purchase Price that is expensed and the fraction that is amortized.

Chapter 3 Fraction Purchase Price Expensed

Chapter 4 Purchase Price as Fraction of Balance

Chapter 4 Purchase Price in Dollars

3. Conversion Cost The amount of the Conversion Cost that is expensed immediately. The amount that remains is amortized over a schedule selected by the user.

Chapter 4 Conversion Cost Amount

Chapter 3 Fraction Conversion Cost Expensed

Chapter 3 Amortization of Purchase and Conversion

4. Total Purchase Price Total Purchase Price in Dollars.

5. Tax Rate The Marginal Tax Rate of the firm, during the period of portfolio conversion, used in the analysis. (Chapter 3 Tax Rate)

6. Tax Savings This is the dollar value of the tax savings which resulted from expensing a portion of the purchase price in the first year after the conversion. In our example the firm saved 35% of the total of the amount of price expensed and the conversion cost:

Tax Savings = 35% x (Price Expensed + Conversion Cost Expensed)

7. Net Initial Cost This is the Purchase Price less the first year tax savings.

8. Months of Simulation This tells the user how many months were used in the simulation. It is important that before using these results you are certain that the analysis was run for as long as any loans exist in the portfolio. We suggest you use 360 months for the final analysis.

9. Expected Loan Life This is the Expected Average Loan Life based on the months simulated and the life of the loans at the beginning of the portfolio. (Chapter 4 Payoff Probability) The expected (or average) life of a loan is found by:

a. Multiplying each month in which the loan might terminate by the probability the loan will terminate in that month. In Example A, Month 3 (3) is multiplied by the probability of termination (.25). This is the total of the loans paying off and the loans completing foreclosure. Column 3 = 3 x .25 = .75

b. The sum of these multiplications is the Expected Loan Life.

Example: Expected Loan Life

                         A                       B   

      Month       1      2      3        1       2       3
    
        1       .25    .75    .25       .1      .9       .1
        2       .25    .50    .50       .2      .7       .4
        3       .25    .25    .75       .3      .4       .9
        4       .25     0     1.0       .4       0      1.6
    
     Average Life             2.5                       3.0

(in Months)

Column 1 Probability of Termination

Column 2 Probability that loan will exists

Column 3 Column 1 x Month

In example A the Expected Loan Life is 2.5 months. In example B the Expected Loan Life is 3.0 months.

10. Present Value The present value, in Dollars, of the discounted cash flows generated by the portfolio using the firm's discount rate (shown in Chapter 5.D Line 19). The cash flows have been adjusted for income tax and amortization of the Purchase Price. The present value is also given as a fraction of the original portfolio loan balance.

11. Discount Rate This is the firm's After Tax discount rate which is entered in the firm section of the program. (Chapter 3 Discount Rate)

12. Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR) the Modified IRR assumes that the firm's reinvestment rate will be different from the IRR. The cash flows generated by the portfolio are assumed to be reinvested at the reinvestment rate. (Chapter 3 Reinvestment Rate)

13. Nominal Internal Rate of Return (IRR) The discount rate that would make the net initial investment equal to zero. The nominal IRR assumes that funds generated by the investment are reinvested at a rate equal to the nominal IRR. The cash flows used to calculate the nominal IRR are shown in Chapter 5 Monthly Earnings line 19.

Net Present Value = Present Value Original Investment

NPV =  0

The program will not calculate an IRR when the following conditions exist:

a. The NPV is negative. This would mean that the Net Initial Cost (Line 7) is higher than the present value (Line 10). The analysis may not have been run for the entire amortization period of the portfolio. This could cause both of these conditions to occur.

b. The Equity Invested (5.J Line 9) is negative. This happens when the entire portfolio purchase is financed using debt. The first year tax savings results in a negative net initial cost.

c. The cash flow turns from positive to negative and then turns positive again. This may result in two IRR's and would prevent the program from determining a single IRR.

14. Economic Duration This is the weighted average life of the investment using the present value of the cash flow as the weights. It is a measure of the change in the present value for a change in the discount rate.

                           Present
     Example:     Year   Value           (Yr X PV)

                    1  X  100      =         100
                    2  X  150      =         300
                    3  X   25      =          75
                                    
                    6     275                475

     Duration =  475/275 = 1.73 Years

In this example, if the discount rate increases by 1% then the present value of the portfolio will decrease by 1.73%.

     Discount Rate     =  8.0%          >     9.0%
     Present Value     =  2.15%  X  (1  .0173)     =  2.11%

In this example the discount rate changed 1% from 8% to 9%. The present value of 2.15% will decrease by 1.73% to 2.11%.

15. Break-even Price This is the maximum price you would pay be willing to pay for the portfolio you are evaluating. If you pay an amount greater than the break-even price the net present value of the investment will be negative. Two other events occur when you pay the break-even price. First, the net present value should be zero. Next, the IRR rate of return should equal the discount rate at the break-even price.

When you are working with the break-even price keep in mind that the total price for a portfolio will be the break-even price plus the conversion cost. If you have significant conversion costs your present value may be greater than your break-even price. When you add conversion cost to the break-even price that is equal to the actual cost of the portfolio.

FINANCIAL RESULTS POSTDEBT ROE

                                                                    
                         Portfolio Simulation                       
               Financial Results  Return on Equity                
                                       a.       b.          c.     
                    Tax Rate    Expensed +  Amortized =    Total   
Purchase Price  :              2,500,000    7,500,000   10,000,000 
Conversion Cost :                160,000       40,000      200,000 
Total           :              2,660,000    7,540,000   10,200,000 
Tax Savings     :    0.3500      931,000                  931,000 
                                                                   
Net Initial Cost:                                        9,269,000 
                                                                   
Less Borrowed Funds:                                     7,500,000 
Equity Invested    :                                     1,769,000 
                                                                   
Simulation Period:   348 Months     Expected Loan Life: 150.08 Mon 
Pay Back         :   6.2 Years      Economic Duration :   5.39 Yrs 
                                                                   
Pres Val to Equity: 2,695,480   0.539%  Equity Discount :   15.00% 
Equity Invested   : 1,769,000   0.354%  Nominal ROE     :   29.18% 
Net PV to Equity  :   926,480           Modified ROE    :    9.04% 
                                                                   
Balance :    500,000,000     Loans :  10,000    Serv Fee :  0.440% 
Avg Bal :         50,000     Rate  :  11.000%   Maturity : 348 Mth 
                                                                     



This analysis assumes that the borrowed funds (interest and principal payments) are netted from the cash flows before the present value of the cash flows is calculated. The discount rate used for this analysis is the equity discount rate entered n the firm section. The equity discount is the return on investment that the owners (stockholders) of the business require to invest their funds in the company. See Chapter 5 PreDebt Valuation for a detailed discussion of items not covered in this section.

2. Purchase Price The price paid for the portfolio.

3. Conversion Cost The total dollar amount of the Conversion Cost.

4. Total Portfolio Price

a. Total Expensed Purchase Price + Conversion Amount

b. Total Amortized Purchase Price + Conversion Amount

c. Total Portfolio Price Purchase Price + Conversion Amount

5. Tax Rate The firm's Marginal Tax rate for the period following the conversion.

6. Tax Savings The first year Tax Savings from the expensed portion of the Portfolio Price.

7. Net Initial Cost The Portfolio Price less the first year tax savings.

8. Less Borrowed Funds The amount of money that the firm borrows to finance this portfolio. (Chapter 4 Debt Financing)

9. Equity Invested The Borrowed Funds are subtracted from the Net Initial Cost to give the Equity Invested in the portfolio. The Net present value for this Chapter is determined by using this amount as the original investment.

10. Length of Simulation This should be greater than the amortization period of the portfolio. Chapter 4 Amortization)

11. Expected Loan Life The expected average loan life of the portfolio. (Chapter 5 Prepayments)

12. Present Value The present value in dollars and as a fraction expressed as a percentage of the original portfolio balance. It is calculated after the debt service has been subtracted from the monthly cash flows. The cash flows are shown in Chapter 5 Debt Repayment Line 13.

13. Discount Rate In the debt chapter of the analysis this is the equity discount rate or the rate that is required by the owners of the firm in return for investing their capital in the firm. The program assumes that the cash flows in this chapter have the debt service already taken into consideration. (Chapter 3 Equity Discount)

14. Modified Internal Rate of Return The Modified IRR assumes that the firm's reinvestment rate will be different from the calculated IRR, and that the cash flows generated by the portfolio will be reinvested at the reinvestment rate. Chapter 5 Debt Repayment Line 9 shows the cash flows to be used in the calculation. (Chapter 3 Reinvestment Rate)

15. Nominal Internal Rate of Return (IRR) This is the Internal rate of Return of the investment that would make the Net present value of the investment, adjusted for first year tax savings, equal to zero. The nominal IRR assumes that funds generated by the investment are reinvested at a rate equal to the nominal IRR. The cash flows used to calculate the nominal IRR are shown in Chapter 5 Earnings line 19.

Net Present Value = Original Investment Present Value = 0

NPV = 0

16. Economic Duration The Weighted Average Life of the Investment using the present value of the cash flow as the weighted average factor.

C. GROUP SIMULATION


             GROUP SIMULATION             Screen  {S70}    
                                                           
       Group Simulation                                    
       Definition                                       
            File Definition                                
                                                           
       Calculation                                      
            Simulate   Months                              
       Results                                        
            Generate Reports                               
            Loan Status                                    
            Earnings                                       
            P&I Float                                      
            Impounds                                       
            Debt Repayment                                 
            Cash Flows (Daily)                             
            Valuation                                      
            With Debt                                      
            Budget Summary                                 
                                                           
            Quit this Menu                                 




The Group Consolidation will add different portfolio segments together and analyze the combined segments as a single portfolio. You define which segments you want in the group by using the file definitions screens in this section.

The same portfolio segments can be used in many group definitions. There is no limit to the different groups that you can define. The program will combine a maximum of sixty portfolios in a single consolidation.

Each group definition you create can be saved to a disk file and be reused at a later date. You must SAVE the definition in order to be able to access it at a later date. The KAL II model does not save any of your data automatically.

STEPS TO CONSOLIDATE

The program goes through the following process during the group simulation:

1. The portfolio valuation analysis is performed for each portfolio in the group. A new, temporary summation file is created and the results of each portfolio valuation are added to this summation file.

2. After all segments have evaluated the program determines the consolidated amortization schedule. This schedule may be different than the sum of the individual schedules depending on which method was selected for the amortization of the initial investment.

The FASB method will almost always result in an amortization schedule which does not equal the sum of the individual segment amortization schedules. The program considers the accumulated cash flow in the determination of the annual portion of the purchase price to amortize each year.

3. The P&I account balances are determined separately for each portfolio. During the P&I Review the program then subtracts out the advances for the individual P&I accounts that are combined. The P&I advances are then recomputed for the combined account balances. This new balance allows for the effects of sharing a common P&I account. The advances and the resulting costs of advances may be different for the combined accounts due to the fact that the individual accounts can advance from the combined P&I bank balance.

If there are no accounts to be combined then do not run the P&I review part of the simulation. It will have no effect since no advantage is received from combing P&I accounts.

Difference between Portfolio and Group valuation

The portfolio section does not produce a five year budget. If you want to have a budget for a single segment, set the segment up in a group definition file that has only that segment listed in the group. The program will go through the same steps in consolidation and you will have the budget summary. Most of the reports are available in both sections of the program. The group section doses not have access to the backup or rate screens. These screens can only be used in the portfolio section.

The group consolidation has many functions in addition to the determination of the combined value.

Examine the monthly P&I,T&I accounts

This review examines the daily and monthly cash balances. If you are using your cash balances to offset a warehouse account the reports will show how much cash is need or is available for each day of the month.

Annual Cash Flow Cycle

The annual cash flow cycle can be very difficult to determine. The Model is an effective tool to analyze the monthly mortgagor collection and investor/escrow remittances . The Model uses this information to determine how much cash is available during each month of the year.

Portfolio Planning

The most important questions in loan servicing always seem to revolve around the servicing cost per loan. The Model will simulate the financial effects of different processing costs and report these changes in terms of dollars and cents. The cost savings from additional expenditures can be immediately converted into profit or loss.

You may want to look at which combination of segments produces the greatest value. A sale of a portion of the portfolio may cause the allocated fixed costs to change significantly. The effects of changes are easily and quickly examined by the Model.

Project the results of a sales/purchase strategy

The KAL II Model can be used to show production, purchases and sales. This is the most effective means of investigating different strategies in a quick and efficient manner.

Five Year Budget Summary

In Chapter 4 we discussed the "When Become Active" switch. The switch's primary function is to start portfolios at different times in the future. The budget summary is then a reflection of your anticipated future growth plans. The Model will also prepare a monthly budget based on these plans. The net effect is the Model provides you the ability to forecast based on simulated conditions. These conditions reflect loan delinquencies, segment servicing costs and anticipated changing economic and firm conditions.

GROUP FILE DEFINITION

                                                           
         GROUP FILE DEFINITION          Screen {S710}     
                                                          
         Group File Definition                            
                                                          
        > Change Data                                   
            Display File Names                            
            Erase File                                    
            Load File                                     
            Make New File                                 
            Save File                                     
                                                          
            Quit Menu                                     
                                                            

This is the same file definition screen that was discussed in Chapter 2 System Environment. All functions work the same as the other four definition screens. Review Chapter 2 to use these file functions.

                                                                    
                 CHANGE DATA                      Screen {S711}    
     Title:     GNMA I Example                                     
                                                                   
   *  File Name    *  File Name    *  File Name    *  File Name    
                                                                   
   A  GNMAEX                                                       
   B  ARMEX                                                        
                                                                   
   *  Mark all portfolios which share one P&I account with any     
      character.  Use a different letter for each P&I account      
      that is shared. Keep groups together.                        
                                                                   



TITLE

This is the title of the group of portfolio segments that will be consolidated into a single simulation. Always use a name that can be easily remember or identified. A copy of the screen using the DOS print screen key can be very helpful in recalling the configuration of each group definition.

File Name

This is the file name of a portfolio segment that was created earlier. All portfolio definitions should be complete and previously valued. This insures that the consolidation will run correctly.

P&I Combine Field "*"

The asterisk is used to mark all portfolios which share one P&I account. Any character can be used. It is possible to have three or more portfolio segments that share a single P&I account. In this case use an "A" to signify those accounts that share a common account. Use a different letter for each P&I account that is shared. Keep all groups that share P&I accounts together.

We have used two files in this example to show how the definition is created. Both files will be consolidated into one group portfolio. However, the GNMA portfolio will use one P&I account and the ARM loans will use another. This prevents the advance accounts from being commingled. The GNMA account is denoted with an "A". The ARM account is denoted with a "B".

SIMULATE NUMBER OF MONTHS

Combine Portfolios Through Month 360

Review P&I Advance Through Month 360

Combine Portfolios Through Month

For the sake of speed you may only wish to look at a few months of group valuation data. Enter the number of months that you would like to view the valuation for. If you are only interested in the five year budget forecast then you would want to enter (60) or five years.

Review P&I Advance Through Month

The group simulation takes longer to run than does the portfolio simulation. If you do not have any combined P&I accounts then enter zero in this field. When zero is entered in this field the model will not run the P&I review. If you are only interested in the five year budget then enter (0) in this field.

Each of the following screens is explained in Chapter 5 Portfolio Valuation. The screens contain reports for the consolidated portfolio.

Generate Reports Screen {S73}

Loan Status Screen {S74}

Earnings Screen {S75}

P&I Float Screen {S76}

Impounds Screen {S73}

Debt Repayment Screen {S78}

Cash Flows (Daily) Screen {S79}

Valuation Screen {S710}

With Debt Screen {S711}

BUDGET SUMMARY


BUDGET SUMMARY MONTHLY Screen {S712}

                                                               
       Monthly Budget Report                                   
   1.  Month                       1           2           3   
                                                               
   2.  Servicing Revenues     269323      279445      279820   
   3.  less Operating Cost    100024       99013       98699   
                                                               
   4.  Operating Income       269323      279445      279820   
                                                               
   5.  less Fixed Costs        20833       20833       20833   
   6   less Amortization       62833       62833       62833   
   7.  less Interest           62500       62500       62500   
                                                               
   8.  Income Before Tax       23132       34265       34954   
                                                               
   9.  less Income Tax         8096        11993       12234   
                                                               
   10. Net Income              15036       22273       22720   
                                                               
   11. Cash Flow               77869       85106       85554   
                                                               
   12. Principal Paid           0.00        0.00        0.00   
                                                               
   13. Number of Loans         10000        9922        9844   
                                                               
   14.  First Period (0) Every (1)  Months/Years (M/Y)   


This screen is only available when the group simulation is run.

1. Month/Year Period of time that the screen balances will represent. The column balances are either for a month or for a year. If you have selected an interval other than one (1) the program does not accumulate the missing periods. The program only shows the amounts for the period of one month or one year.

2. Servicing Revenues The total servicing revenues for the period. The detail breakdown of these costs is shown in the printed report for this section.

3. Operating costs The total costs of the servicing operation. The printed report shows the detail breakdown.

4. Operating Income Servicing Revenue less servicing costs. The breakdown is shown in Chapter 5 Earnings Line 15.

5. Fixed Costs The monthly portion of the annual Fixed Costs as entered by the User in Chapter 3 Fixed Costs, Interest and Amortization. To view the individual cost breakdown see Chapter 6.I Budget Reports.

6. Amortization The combined amortization from Chapter 3 and the amortization calculated for the portfolios being analyzed.

7. Interest Paid This is the combined interest from Chapter 3.J Fixed Costs and the interest on the new debt from portfolios being purchased using debt financing.

8. Income Before Tax The income tax calculated on this line will be different than in the prior Chapters. This is due to the fact that the additional interest and amortization is included from Chapter 3. These additional charges will act to reduce both income and taxes.

9. Income Tax The income tax which is determined after all amortization and interest (Existing and New) is expensed.

10. Net Income The income which is remaining after all amortization and interest (Existing and New) is expensed.

11. Cash Flow This cash flow will be different than the sum of the individual portfolio cash flows due to the inclusion of the fixed cost, interest and amortization from Chapter 3.

12. Principal Paid The total of all principal payments from any type of debt, new or existing.

13. Number of Loans The remaining number of loans in the combined portfolio.

14. Status Line (See the prior menu on Earnings for a complete explanation)

ANNUAL BUDGET REPORT

                                                                   

ANNUAL BUDGET REPORT Screen {S712A}

                                                                  
                       Five Year Budget Summary                   
   Annual Budget            1         2         3         4       
                                                                  
   Servicing Revenues   3188791   3020039   2923373   2743263     
   less Operating Cost  1171858   1134725   1131114   1024066     
                           
   Operating Income     2016933   1885314   1792258   1719197     
                                                                  
   less Fixed Costs      250000    250000    250000    250000     
   less Amortization     754000    754000    754000    754000     
   less Interest         750000    687500    625000    562500     
                           
   Income Before Tax     262933    193814    163258    152697     
   less Income Tax        92026     67835     57140     53444     
                           
   Net Income            170906    125979    106118     99253     
                                                                  
   Cash Flow             924906    879979    860118    853253     
   Principal Paid        625000    625000    625000    625000     
   Number of Loans         9147      8565      8009      7487     
                                                                  
      First Period    0   Every   1  Months/Years Y              





The annual budget report is available for the first five years.