Comparison to Other Models
This article presents a complete example of a servicing
valuation. A standard GNMA I portfolio is used as the basis of the example.
We refer to other models and show the differences that may exist between
our model and other servicing valuation models.
This report shows the differences between the KAL_II Model
and other servicing valuation models.
The report also shows how to compare a portfolio valuation using the KAL_II
Model and other servicing valuation models. The comparison is done for
demonstration purposes only. Run your current model and compare the results
to KAL_II Model results. Valuation results may not be the same because
of the assumptions that different models use.
As you go through this example you will see how the KAL_II
model is better equipped to do a more comprehensive analysis. The KAL_II
Model is well suited to purchase price valuation, cash flow analysis and
loan servicing operational evaluation.
he computer screens shown in this report were generated by the KAL_II Model.
If you have a copy of the Model then run the printed reports when you are
finished the analysis and make certain that all the variables are set correctly.
The reports generated by the Model do not always print in the exact order
as the computer screens.
What we will do to make the comparison is to methodically
"Turn Off" the valuation options in KAL_II that other models
do not have. This allows a reasonably close comparison in value. At the
completion of the analysis you will have eliminated many of the variables
used in the KAL_II Model. The report shows that most valuation models do
not allow for important cost and income factors which are critical to an
accurate valuation of a purchase price.
Principle Differences and Advantages of KAL_II
The Model generates the Daily Cash Flows for every
day of the loan life. The Model presents the following cash flows in a
financial statement format:
Regular Principal and Interest Receipts
Foreclosure Receipts
Payoff Amounts - P&I, Escrows, Advances, Late Fees
Escrows Collected - Tax, Insurance, Premiums
Investor Remittances
Escrow Disbursements
Foreclosure Losses
We use different Delinquency Patterns to determine
the cost per loan
Servicing Costs per Loan used by the Model are:
Regular Servicing Costs
Delinquent Servicing Costs
Thirty Day Collection Cost
Payoff Cost
Foreclosure Servicing Costs
Foreclosure Losses
Conversion Costs
Servicing Revenues
Servicing Fees
Late Fees - includes current month late fees
Ancillary Income that applies to all loans
Special Insurance Solicitation Income
P&I Balance Determination - KAL_II will calculate
the daily P&I balances. The Model will calculate the initial P&I
balances from delinquency and amortization data.
Escrow Balance Determination - It is not necessary to estimate the
initial escrow balances. The Model will determine the escrow balance during
every month of the loan life while taking delinquencies, payoffs, remittances
and foreclosures into consideration.
Financing Analysis - KAL_II does a comprehensive analysis of the
financing used to acquire servicing portfolios.
ECONOMIC VARIABLES
Economic Firm Screen S210
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Economic Data
Change Data
Name of Econ File
Inflation Forecast
Market Index
Quit Menu
Our Model allows for the important rates and factors to
be set independently or set as a spread from the economic factors. If set
as a spread then a change in a single variable will change all dependent
variables at the same time. We do not use the economic data files in this
analysis. We set all Inflation and Interest factors as separate, independent
variables.
Economic Screen S211
Standard Model Comparison
Economic Data
Change Data
Title: Standard Model Comparison
Title - To complete an analysis, the Model requires
an Economic, Firm, and Portfolio file. We labeled this file only for identification
purposes.
Economic Screen S212
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Economic Data
Change Data
Inflation Rate
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.000000
We do not use the General Inflation Factor.
Economic Screen S213
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Economic Data
Change Data
Interest Rate Forecast
Thru annual
Month Rate
360 .000000
We do not use the Market Index (Interest Rate Forecast)
in this analysis.
FIRM VARIABLES
These are variables which are unique to an individual
company. The variables do not usually change with different portfolios.
The only exception is the interest paid on impounds. With the KAL_II Model
you can set the impound payment rate for each portfolio or you can set
it for the Firm. In our example we did not pay interest on the impound
accounts.
Each of the Firm rates has been set as an actual table
rate. Set each rate separately as we come to it. This is an opportunity
to view the models full capability.
Although the KAL_II Model allows for a maximum of ten
rate changes for each of the Inflation and Interest tables we will use
only one rate for the entire analysis period.
Firm Screen S310
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
->> Name of Firm File
After Tax Discount
Cost of Advances
Equity Discount
Fixed Costs, Interest, Amortization
Impound Earnings
Methods of Amortization
Pay on Impounds
Reinvestment Rate
Tax Rate
Use of Bank Balances
Quit this menu
This is the Main Screen for the Firm Data Section. The
screen lists all the possible inputs for a single firm. It is possible
to create and save different firm files. Use these different firm files
to value the same portfolio.
Firm Screen S311
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
->> Name of Firm File
Quit this menu
Title: Standard Model Comparison
Title - The Model displays this name across the top of
the computer screen. This helps to remember which portfolio or firm file
you are using.
Firm Screen S312
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
After Tax Discount
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.080000
After Tax Discount - Remember to use the after tax discount.
If your other model does not allow for an after tax discount, then use
the corporate tax rate to calculate the discount directly.
Firm Screen S313
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
Cost of Advances
Key to Cost of Advances : 1 (1=actual,2=spread)
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.100000
Cost of Advances - This is the rate paid on the advances
that are made to the investors. Most models use this rate. Enter the same
rate in each model.
Firm Screen S314
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
Equity Discount
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.150000
Equity Discount - The equity discount determines
the present value of the cash flows after debt service. If your other model
does a post debt analysis, then use the same number on each model.
Firm Screen S315
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
Fixed Costs, Interest, Amortization
Year Existing ---Existing Debt--- Existing
Fixed Cost Principal Interest Amortization
1. 0 0 0 0
2. 0 0 0 0
3. 0 0 0 0
4. 0 0 0 0
5. 0 0 0 0
Fixed Costs, Interest and Amortization - With the
KAL_II Model you can develop a Five Year Budget. In order to do this effectively
you must add fixed costs to the analysis. These are costs associated with
this particular portfolio or group of portfolios.
Use this information to develop a consolidated financial plan. The plan
may include all portfolios on the books and any additions or deletions
that might occur over the next five years.
Enter all zeros in this section.
Firm Screen S316
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
Key to Impound Earnings Rate : 1 (1=actual,2=spread)
Impound Earnings
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.080000
Impound Earnings - This is the interest rate that
the escrow balances earn. Most models use this rate and it can be the same
for both models.
Firm Screen S317
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
Methods of Amortization
Fraction Purchase Price Expensed : 0.000000
Fraction Conversion Cost Expensed: 1.000000
Amortization of Purchase & Conversion: 1
(0 = None )
(1 = Straight Line )
(2 = F.A.S.B. Method )
(3 = Declining Balance)
(4 = Sum-Years-Digits )
Years to Amortize Over 10
Fraction Expensed - In this example we amortized
the purchase price. However, we expensed the conversion cost in the first
year.
Amortization Methods - It is best to use a straight
line amortization method when comparing different models. There are many
methods available and the models may treat the methods differently. The
F.A.S.B. method of amortization would make the valuation results vary more
than the other methods.
Firm Screen S318
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
Key Rate Paid on Impounds : 1 (1=actual,2=spread)
Pay on Impounds
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.000000
Pay on Impounds - This the annual interest paid
to the mortgagors on their impound accounts. Both models should use the
same interest rate. If your other model uses a spread from the earnings
rate then enter that total rate into the KAL_II table in the relevant section.
Firm Screen S319
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
Reinvestment Rate
Key to Reinvestment Rate : 1 (1=actual, 2=spread)
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.080000
Reinvestment Rate - The Model uses the reinvestment
rate to determine the modified internal rate of return. If your model does
not calculate the modified internal rate of return then set the reinvestment
rate equal to the discount rate. This will not affect the present value
or break-even price in the pre-debt analysis.
Firm Screen S31-10
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
Tax Rate
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.350000 10
Tax Rate - Every Model uses some form of tax rate.
Use the same rate in both models.
Screen S31-11
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Firm Data
Change Data
Fraction of P&I Bank Balances Usable: 1.00000
Fraction of T&I Bank Balances Usable: 1.00000
Fraction of P&I/T&I Bank Balances Usable
- Most models allow for only a fraction of the Bank Balances to be useable
during the month. If the model that you are comparing to does not have
this feature then set the Bank Balance field to 100%.
LOAN PORTFOLIO VARIABLES
Portfolio Screen - S410
Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
How Categories Defined *
Amortization Factors
Beginning Status *
Cashiering Patterns *
Debt Financing *
Extra Income Sources **
Foreclosure **
Growth & Other Tables **
Impound
Late Fee **
Miscellaneous
Payoffs
Remittance Process
Service Fees
Transition and Cost **
Quit Menu
* - We do not use these data screens in the comparison.
** - These fields can be similar for most portfolios being evaluated by
the same company.
This is the KAL_II Loan Portfolio Data Screen. Each line
on this screen represents a set of input factors that you enter as data
to the KAL_II Model. It is not necessary to enter all the input factors.
You can determine a value for the servicing from a minimum set of portfolio
segment data. As you expand the valuation you will be able to determine
a more accurate value for loan servicing.
What we are going to do in this section of the report is to show how you
can use the KAL_II Model to compare valuation results from other models.
I have not chosen a specific model but have provided a set of guidelines
to use when running comparisons. No two models will compare exactly. The
reason for this is that each model uses a different set of assumptions.
One model may discount annual cash flows while another may discount monthly
cash flows. Each model uses different assumptions such as when the loans
payoff during the discounting period.
1. HOW LOAN CATEGORIES ARE DEFINED
The KAL_II Model breaks down the delinquencies into the
actual categories used by the company doing the analysis or by the company
selling the servicing. To simplify the comparison we have eliminated all
but the two most commonly used categories, delinquent and foreclosure.
The determination of the effects of different delinquency
patterns is one of the key advantages of the KAL_II Model. In our Model,
servicing costs are a function of the normal servicing costs and the delinquent
servicing costs. Changing the delinquency pattern over future years will
show you the financial effects on the portfolio value.
Portfolio Screen - S411
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Definition of Loan Status Categories
Status Length in Months
0 Good Loan 1
1 Delinquen 1
2 Foreclose 1
3 Off Books 0
Good Loan - All portfolios must have "Good
Loan" as the first category. This category is always one month long.
Delinquent - We use a one month delinquency category in the comparison.
The Model will only charge a single month's late fee for each delinquent
loan. Other models use a field called "Average Months Delinquent"
to calculate the late fee income. If we set the Delinquent period to "two",
that will represent an average delinquency of two months. If the period
is two months long then there will be two late fee charges for each delinquent
loan. The additional financial data required to determine the late fees
is presented later in this article.
Other models will often price higher as you increase the delinquency ratios.
There are several reasons this happens. First, no allowance is made for
the late fees not collected when the loans foreclose. Second, no allowance
is made for the higher servicing costs which results from the increased
delinquencies. Finally, no allowance is made for the timing of the late
fee collection.
Foreclosure - Normally we would allow from six to nine months to
foreclose a loan. By setting our foreclosure period to one month we can
simulate how other models use the foreclosure information. In this comparison,
the foreclosure ratio entered in the Transition and Cost Section will equal
the percentage of loans that complete foreclosure each month. The initial
foreclosure ratio is set to zero. We assume we are not buying the current
foreclosures.
Off Books - All Portfolio definitions must have Off Books as the
last status. The Off Books status is always "0" months long.
2. PORTFOLIO AMORTIZATION INFORMATION
This section contains amortization information for a specific
portfolio segment. The portfolio segment we are comparing is representative
of GNMA I loan servicing.
Portfolio Screen S4120
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Amortization Factors
Title of Portfolio: Standard Model Comparison
Number of Loans: 1000
How Enter Balance: 1 (1=Average, 2=Total)
Loan Balance 50000 (Prior to This Month's Payment)
Original Amort Pd: 360 (Months)
Original Maturity: 360 (Months)
Average Loan Age: 12 (Months = Maturity-Remaining Life)
Portfolio Category: P (P=Purchase, E=Exist, N=New Prod)
When Become Active: 0 (Number of months in future,0=Now)
Type of Loans: 1 (1=Fixed, 2=GPM, 3=ARM)
Fixed Interest Rate: .11 Annual Percent
Every Model uses the information in this screen. The key
input fields are:
Number of Loans - Enter the beginning number of
loans
How Enter Balance - The balance can be enter either as a single
total or as a total per loan.
Portfolio Category and When Become Active - This variable will determine
when to add the new loan servicing to the current portfolio. If you want
to simulate your production, purchases, and sales over the next five years,
this is the ideal tool. You can start a portfolio any time within the next
five years. In this case we show the portfolio beginning on the first day
of the analysis.
Type of Loan - Enter "1" for a fixed rate loan type. The
Model can also evaluate Adjustable Rate Mortgage loans and Graduated Payment
Mortgage loans.
3. BEGINNING LOAN STATUS
Screen S413
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Beginning Loan Distribution
Initial Loan Status Entered As -->> 1
Number of Loans: 1000.00
Status Percentage
Good Loan 1.0000
Delinquen 0.0
Foreclose 0.0
Entry-->> <<
(Pct Left to Allocate 0.000000)
Initial Loan Status - The KAL_II Model will accept
the initial status in either delinquency loan counts or delinquency ratios.
A "1" tells the program to expect delinquency ratios.
Good Loan - This is the number or percentage of loans that are current
an the end of each period. We begin with a portfolio that is 100% current.
4. CASHIERING PATTERNS
To determine the daily cash flows you must tell the KAL_II
model how you expect to receive the cash during the month. There are four
patterns that are usually examined:
1. Mortgagor receipts from current loans
2. Mortgagor receipts from delinquent loans
3. P&I, late fees, service fees, etc. received from payoffs
4. Cash received from loans completing foreclosure
The KAL_II Model uses this information to determine the
current month's late charges and also the changes that will occur in the
P&I and T&I accounts. All monies received from payoffs, foreclosures
and loans coming current are posted on a daily basis to the relevant bank
accounts. All investor and impound remittances are also shown on a daily
basis.
Portfolio Screen S4141
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Cashiering Patterns
Current Loans Delinquent
Day Still Current Coming Good Payoffs Foreclosure
1 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000
2
3
4
5
6
7
...
...
...
27
28
29
30 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000
Cashiering Patterns - We set the patterns to show
all cash received on the first day of the month. This will duplicate the
assumptions that most other models use. We will set the number of days
to hold the P&I in a latter section of the model.
In the KAL_II Model we present each of these screens separately.
We have combined them for the purposes of presentation in this report.
5. DEBT FINANCING
Many models perform some degree of debt financing analysis.
The KAL_II Model does an after debt service analysis that includes the
determination of the present value, internal rate of return and break-even
price.
We will not use these functions for purposes of the comparison. Turn these
features off by entering zero in each data entry field.
Portfolio Screen S4150
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Debt Factors
Fraction Financed with Debt : 0.0000 (0.0 to 1.0 Purchase Price)
Key to Debt Interest Rate : 1 (1=actual,2=spread market)
Months Between Principal Pmts: 1
Key to Repayment Method : 1
(1 = Use up available funds )
(2 = Equal Principal Payment)
(3 = Equal to Amortization )
For Equal Payments:
Number of Years of Payments : 1
Fraction Financed With Debt - This is the portion
of the portfolio financed with debt. The debt interest rate table follows
this screen.
Key to Debt Interest Rate - The debt interest rate can be the market
interest index or a specific debt interest rate.
Key to Debt Repayment Method - There are three methods allowed for
the debt repayment.
Months Between Principal Payments - This determines how often the
principal repayments occur.
Number of Years of Payments - This applies if you use equal principal
payments to retire the debt.
Portfolio Screen S4151
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Annual Debt Rate
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.00000
6. EXTRA INCOME SOURCES
Extra Income Screen S4160
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Extra Income Sources
Income that applies to all loans--------------------------
Extra Income : 12.00 ($/Loan/Year)
Key to Growth : 2 (1=Inf, 2=Table)
Customer Base Cross Selling (Servicing Premiums)----------
Monthly Premium : 0.00 (per Loan )
Commission : 0.000000 (Fraction of Premium)
Key Premium Growth: 2 (1=Inf, 2=Table )
Current Balance : 0
(1) Income That Applies to All Loans
- This is the amount per loan that is usually titled "Ancillary Income".
We multiply this amount times all loans in the portfolio. Enter the dollars
per loan that you expect to earn in ancillary income on all loans. If you
are using the late fee data fields then do not include the amount of income
you expect to earn from late fees in this section.
(2) Servicing Premiums - This is also called insurance solicitation
income or premium income. When you enter all zeros in these fields you
effectively turn off this option.
Portfolio Screen S4161
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Premium Penetration Table
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.00000
Portfolio Screen S4162
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Ancillary Income Growth
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.04000
Portfolio Screen S4163
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Premium Growth
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.00000
7. FORECLOSURE FACTORS
Portfolio Screen S417
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Foreclosure Factors
Hard Out-of-Pocket Cost : 1500
Hard Costs Recovered : 0.000000
Service Fees Recovered : 0.000000
P&I Advances Recovered : 1.000000
Tax & Ins Advances Recov : 1.000000
Interest Payments Lost : 0
Principal Balance Lost : 0.000000
Hard Costs - These are losses associated with a
foreclosed loan. In our comparison we will set this variable to be the
total amount lost, from any source, due to foreclosure. This eliminates
the need to determine what the other foreclosure losses might be.
Service Fees - Our Model assumes that you do not recover service
fees for foreclosures. In reality, foreclosures last longer than one month.
This one month assumption means that most models will collect service fees
on loans through the entire foreclosure process. As a results, only the
last month services fees are lost.
P&I, T&I Advances Recovered - In this comparison we assume
that we recover all advances. The Hard Cost field includes the total amount
lost. The hard cost field should also include any advances you do not expect
to recover.
Interest Payments Lost - We do not use this filed in our comparison.
Principal Balance Lost - We do not use this field in our comparison.
8. GROWTH AND OTHER TABLES
Screen S4180
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Growth & Other Tables
Ancillary Income
Debt Interest Rate
Extra Premium Growth
Insurance Impound Growth
Premium Penetration
-->> Servicing Cost Growth
Tax Impound Growth
The only table in this section that is not found elsewhere
is the Servicing Cost Growth Table. Use this section to examine or change
the other tables. It is best to enter the table data in the order that
the program follows.
SERVICING COST INFLATION
Portfolio Screen S41-111
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Growth Service Costs
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.040000
Service Cost Inflation - This is a standard feature
on most models. Enter the annual inflation rate of the servicing costs.
The rate will apply to all servicing costs including foreclosure costs,
delinquency costs, payoff costs and collection costs.
9. TAX AND INSURANCE IMPOUNDS
In KAL_II you enter the average monthly tax and insurance
payment amount. You do not enter an estimate of the monthly balance of
the impound accounts. To make comparisons with other models you must first
estimate the monthly impound payments. The Model then simulates the monthly
receipts and disbursements. You can determine these receipts and disbursements
by using the backup screens in the portfolio section of the KAL_II Model.
Impounds - Major Screen
Portfolio Screen S4190
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Impound Inputs
-->> Balances and Indexes
How Paid Out During Year
Insurance Growth Rate (if not inflation)
Property Tax Growth Rate (if not inflation)
Rate Paid to Borrowers on Impounds
Quit Menu
These screens are available to enter impound information
on a portfolio segment. We do not use all the screens in our comparison
but it is still important to go through the process of setting values for
each of the variables. This insures that the Model will not use incorrect
data fields.
Balances and Indexes - Minor Screen
Portfolio Screen S4191
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Impound Information
Monthly Property Tax : 50.00 (Average Per Loan )
Key to Growth Rate : 2 (1=Inflation, 2=Growth Table)
How Tax Impound Grows: 2 (1=Monthly, 2=Annually )
Monthly Insurance Pmt: 30.00 (Average Per Loan )
Key to Growth Rate : 2 (1=Inflation, 2=Growth Table)
How Ins Impound Grows: 2 (1=Monthly, 2=Annually )
Initial Impound Balance: 1 (1=Calculate, 2=Input)
Extra Months Tax : 0
Extra Months Ins : 0
Distribute Total Impound : N (Y=Yes, N=No)
If Yes, Actual Impound Balance 0
Monthly Property Tax - the average monthly amount
paid by the mortgagor. It is an average of all loans in the portfolio segment
being analyzed. You can obtain this information from an analysis of your
portfolio data.
If you only have a single impound amount to work with then use the tax
field as the single impound account.
We adjust the impound balances annually for inflation.
Monthly Insurance Payment - This is the monthly hazard insurance
payment collected from the mortgagor.
Initial Impound Balance - The KAL_II Model will determine what the
initial impounds should be if the information is not available. To do this,
the Model uses the delinquency statuses, the extra months collected, and
the impound remittance cycle. Enter a "1" in this field.
Extra Months Tax/Insurance - These fields are set to zero. The fields
are normally used to determine the initial impound balances. They are the
number of additional months of impound payments held by the mortgagee.
Two months is usually the maximum allowed.
Distribute Total Impound - Enter a "N" in this field.
The Model will calculate what the initial impound balances should be based
on the delinquency ratios and the extra months of reserves required by
the mortgagee.
Actual Impound Balance - We do not use this field in the comparison.
FIELDS USED BY OTHER MODELS
Average Impounds per Loan - In order to compare
with other models it is necessary to determine what amount to enter in
the monthly payment field that will create the average escrow balance for
the year. If we assume that we pay taxes once a year then the average balance
would occur six months after the start of the portfolio. This balance would
represent the average for a full year (the impound account contains 0 payments
in January and at 12 payments in December). It is necessary divide by the
number of loans in existence in the sixth month to see if you have determined
the correct monthly payment.
Impounds as a Percent of Principal Balance - Some models use a percentage
of principal balance to determine the impounds. This represents a percentage
of the principal balance at the end of the six months of payments. Determine
the dollar amount of the impound balance and divide by the number of loans
in existence in the sixth month. The result is the average monthly impound
payment.
How Paid Out During Year - Minor Screen
Portfolio Screen S4192
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Impound Payments
Number of Required Payments to be Paid Out in Each Future Month
Property Tax Acct Insurance Acct Impound Interest
Month Payments Month Payments Month Payments
1 - 0 1 - 0 1 - 0
2 - 0 2 - 0 2 - 0
3 - 0 3 - 0 3 - 0
4 - 0 4 - 0 4 - 0
5 - 0 5 - 0 5 - 0
6 - 0 6 - 0 6 - 0
7 - 0 7 - 0 7 - 0
8 - 0 8 - 0 8 - 0
9 - 0 9 - 0 9 - 0
10 - 0 10 - 0 10 - 0
11 - 0 11 - 0 11 - 0
12 - 12 12 - 12 12 - 12
REMITTANCE PATTERNS FOR IMPOUNDS
Impounds are paid monthly according to the tax payment
dates or according to the insurance policy date. You can estimate the remittance
schedules by monitoring the impound accounts on your servicing system.
Since this feature is not available on most models we will make the basic
assumption that we pay escrows once a year. We have already set the individual
tax and insurance monthly payments to reflect an average balance for the
year.
Month - the month following the addition or starting
of the portfolio.
Property Tax to State - the number of months of
tax or insurance payments you remit during a particular month. These fields
are set up to remit twelve payments in the twelfth month following the
start of the portfolio.
Insurance Growth Rate - Minor Screen
Portfolio Screen S4193
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Insurance Impound Inflation
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.040000
Insurance Impound Inflation - There are several
alternatives to use for this field:
1. General inflation factor
2. Inflation on impounds
3. Specific insurance inflation factor
Property Tax Growth Rate - Minor Screen
Portfolio Screen S4194
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Property Tax Inflation
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.040000
Property Tax Inflation - If your other model allows
for inflation of tax impounds then set this value to the same rate. Your
model may have separate values for inflation on tax and hazard insurance.
In this case, enter each inflation rate separately.
Rate Paid to Borrowers on Impounds - Minor Screen
Portfolio Screen S4195
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Pay on Impounds
Key to Rate Paid on Impounds : 1
(0=Use Firm Rate, 1=actual, 2=spread)
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.000000
Pay on Impounds - Use this field if you pay interest
on the impound accounts. For our example we set this field to zero.
10. LATE FEE COLLECTIONS
The KAL_II Model collects late fees on loans that have
not made their payment by the late fee trigger date. Other models only
collect late fees on loans that have been delinquent thirty days or more.
To compare with other models we must turn off the first month late fee
field. We accomplished this when we assumed that all funds are received
on the first day of the month.
Many models show an increase in value when the delinquency
ratios increase. This occurs for several reasons. First, no allowance is
made for the increase in servicing cost as a result of the delinquencies.
Next, other models do not allow for late fees not collected due to foreclosure.
Finally, no allowance is made in other models for the timing of the receipt
of the late fees.
(1) Late Fees Triggered - We assume you collect
late fees on all loans that are not current as of the late fee trigger
date. Other models will only collect late fees as of the first day of the
first month of delinquency.
(2) For Previously Good Loans - This cost recognizes the cost of
sending the first month collection notice. It may also include the cost
of first month collection expenses.
Portfolio Screen S41-10
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Late Fees
Late Fees Triggered-------------------
On Any Payment Received After: 15 (Day of Month)
Late Fee on P&I : 0.040000
Late Fee on T&I : 0.000000
Fraction Late Fees Collected : 0.900000
For Previously Good Loans Only--------
Late Notice Triggered : 10 (Day of Month)
Cost of Late Notice : 0.00
Late Fee Triggered - This is the day of the month
that you would normally post the late charges to loans that have not made
the current payment. We do not use this field since we assumed that all
funds are received on the first day of the month.
Late Fee T&I - Most models charge late fees based on the P&I
constant of the loan being analyzed. It is also possible that loans pay
late fees on the tax and insurance payment. For our comparison we have
turned this feature off by setting the amount of penalty equal to zero.
Fraction Fees Collected - This is a standard field used by most
servicing models. Enter the value you would normally use.
For Previously Good Loans - The fields in this section are normally
used to determine the first month collection expense. We will not use these
fields in the comparison.
11. MISCELLANEOUS
Portfolio Screen S41-110
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Miscellaneous
Key to Purchase Price : 1 (1=Pct,2=Dollars)
Price as Fraction of Balance : 0.020000 (Enter 1% as .01 )
Price in Dollars : 0.00
Key to Conversion Costs : 1 (1=Per Loan,2=Total)
Conversion Cost Amount : 0.00
Key to Growth Service Costs : 2 (1=Inf, 2=Table)
(S41-111 Servicing Cost Growth Table is in Growth & Other Tables)
Purchase Price - You can enter the purchase price
as total dollars or as a percent of the principal balance. In our example
we used a purchase price of 2% of the principal balance. This amount is
amortized over the period defined in the firm data section. Amortization
significantly affects the present value and the cash flows. It will not
affect the break-even price.
Conversion Costs - If the other model uses conversion costs then
set both fields to the same amount.
Growth in Servicing Costs - This is the specific inflation factor
for the servicing costs. The servicing cost inflation factor is entered
in the "Growth and Other Tables" section of the Model.
12. PAYOFF INFORMATION
The KAL_II Model allows for the following payoff tables:
Estimates of Remaining Loans - You enter exactly
what you expect the runoff to be over the next thirty years. The actual
remaining balance is set for each of ten periods.
F.H.A. Experience - This is the F.H.A. experience table. You can
set the runoff to a factor times 100% of F.H.A.
Constant Percentage - CPR - The runoff is equal to this percentage
times the remaining loan count.
Public Services Administration - P.S.A. - This is a combination
of two methods, F.H.A. and CPR. It is entered as a factor times 100% of
PSA.
Portfolio Screen S41-120
Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Payoffs
General Factors---
Cost to Process Payoff 0.00
Interest Owed on Payoff 2
Forecasting Parameters---
1. Estimates of Remaining Loans
2. F.H.A. Experience 1.00
3. Constant Percentage
4. P.S.A.
Choice of Method---
Select Method 2
Quit this menu
Cost to Process - KAL_II uses many different servicing
costs to determine the value of the portfolio. This information is also
used to calculate the Five Year Budget and the Projected Income Statements.
Very few models use any factor beyond a single cost per loan. We will set
all other costs in this comparison to "$0.00" and use a single
cost per loan.
Days Interest Owed - The number of days that the mortgagor owes
the mortgagee upon payoff. Set this factor to two. Make sure the interest
owed on payoffs field (remittance table) agrees with this factor.
Payoff Experience - We use FHA in this example because most models
will allow this option.
Select Method - You must select the method you are using.
13. REMITTANCE PROCESSING
The KAL_II Model allows for a very detail description
of the investor remittance schedule. The monthly remittance is broken down
into two components:
1. Surviving Loans - The normal monthly remittance
of interest and amortized principal. The only factor used on this screen
will be Day of Month to Remit. The day you remit will determine how large
the P&I balance will become before it is remitted to the investor.
By altering this day you can change the average P&I balance for this
portfolio.
2. Loans Paying Off - The principal balance from loans paying off
is treated separately. When loans pay off the servicer holds the principal
balance for a predetermined amount of time. Increased runoff will significantly
increase the payoff amounts and, in turn, increase the earnings on P&I.
We will set this factor to "5" as an estimate of what most other
models would use.
Remittance Pattern Screen
Portfolio Screen S41-130
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Remittance Processing
Key to Type of Servicing : a
( a. GNMA 1 )
( b. GNMA 2 )
( c. FNMA MBS )
( d. FNMA AES )
( e. FHLMC PC )
( f. Other )
Remittance Pattern Information
Portfolio Screen S41-13f
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Remittance Processing
Description of Servicing Method: GNMA I/Standard
For Surviving Loans---------------
Delay in Remitting Payments : 0 (Months )
Day of Month to Remit : 15 (0 = Pass Through)
Must Deposit All Funds : Y (Y=Yes, N=No )
Advance Required : 2 (0, 1=Int, 2=P&I )
Maximum Period of Advances : 360 (Months )
Remittance Clears Same Day : Y (Y=Yes, N=No )
Calculate Initial P&I Receivables : Y (Y=Yes, N=No )
For Loans Paying Off--------------
Interest Owed on Payoffs : 2 (0,1=Days,2=Full)
Must Pass Payoffs As Received : N (Y=Yes, N=No )
(if Yes, Days to Wait Until Pass) 0 (Days )
(if No, Delay in Passing Payoff) 1 (Months 1)
Description - KAL_II provides most standard investor
remittances as part of the program. There is also a field for User Defined
remittance patterns (Selection f). Use this field when defining the "Standard"
remittance pattern.
Delay in Remitting Payments - Enter "0".
Day of Month to Remit - Entering 20 in this field will tell the
Model that you expect to hold the P&I amounts for 20 days before sending
the money to the investor. You can determine what the average P&I balance
is dividing the Average Yearly P&I Balance (Portfolio Section of KAL_II)
by the portfolio balance.
Must Deposit - Enter "Y".
Advance Required - This is the principal or interest advance that
many investors require. GNMA I loan servicing requires that you advance
both principal and interest.. The size of the advance is determined by
the delinquency ratio and the average number of months that the loans are
delinquent. KAL_II will automatically determine the required advance on
a daily basis. Other programs hold this advance constant while the delinquency
ratios vary.
Maximum Period of Advance - Set this field to a maximum of 360 months.
14. SERVICE FEES
Portfolio Screen S41-14
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Servicing Fees
Type of Fees : 1 (1=Pct of Balance, 2=Dollars/Loan)
Thru Annual
Month Rate
360 0.004400
Servicing Fees can be either in
1. basis points or
2. dollars per loan.
The loans we are evaluating have a 44 basis point servicing fee.
15. TRANSITION TABLES
KAL_II uses Transition Tables to show how the portfolio
changes over time in relation to:
1. Probability of delinquency patterns
2. Payoffs within each delinquency category
3. Costs to service good loans
4. Costs to service each delinquency category
Portfolio Screen S41-15
Standard Standard Model Comparison
Loan Portfolios
Change Data
Transition Table: 1
Which Applies from Month: 1 thru Month: 360
From Prob Move on Prob Pay Cost to Process When
Status To This Status Fully In This Status
Good Loan - Del 1 Mon 0.0300 Computed Good Loan 80.00 Annually
Delinquen - Foreclose 0.0340 Computed Delinquen 0.00 Per Month
Foreclose - Off Books 1.0000 Computed Foreclose 0.00 Per Month
Transition Table - The KAL_II Model allows for
nine separate transition tables. Each table can have a unique set of characteristics.
We use a single table for the life of the loan in this comparison.
From Status - This describes the different loan status categories
that were set up in the "How Categories Defined Section". No
input is necessary for these fields.
Probable Move to This Status - We are using only one delinquency
category and we are defining that category as one month long. The delinquency
ratio will be equal to the probability or 3%. The foreclosure category
is one month long and is equal to .03 times .034 or .1% a month.
Prob Pay Fully - You can set this field to individual payoff ratios
for each loan status category. By entering " Computed" you direct
the Model to use the payoff experience that you entered earlier in the
model.
Cost to Process - We use a single cost of $80.00 per loan to define
our servicing cost. This is an all inclusive number. We did not use any
other costs in the analysis. This allows a direct comparison with other
models' servicing cost number.
|