KAL_II Loan Servicing Valuation Model

[an error occurred while processing this directive]

Home

About

Resume

Services

Contact

EMAIL

Comparison to Other Models

This article presents a complete example of a servicing valuation. A standard GNMA I portfolio is used as the basis of the example. We refer to other models and show the differences that may exist between our model and other servicing valuation models.

This report shows the differences between the KAL_II Model and other servicing valuation models.

The report also shows how to compare a portfolio valuation using the KAL_II Model and other servicing valuation models. The comparison is done for demonstration purposes only. Run your current model and compare the results to KAL_II Model results. Valuation results may not be the same because of the assumptions that different models use.

As you go through this example you will see how the KAL_II model is better equipped to do a more comprehensive analysis. The KAL_II Model is well suited to purchase price valuation, cash flow analysis and loan servicing operational evaluation.

he computer screens shown in this report were generated by the KAL_II Model. If you have a copy of the Model then run the printed reports when you are finished the analysis and make certain that all the variables are set correctly. The reports generated by the Model do not always print in the exact order as the computer screens.

What we will do to make the comparison is to methodically "Turn Off" the valuation options in KAL_II that other models do not have. This allows a reasonably close comparison in value. At the completion of the analysis you will have eliminated many of the variables used in the KAL_II Model. The report shows that most valuation models do not allow for important cost and income factors which are critical to an accurate valuation of a purchase price.


Principle Differences and Advantages of KAL_II

The Model generates the Daily Cash Flows for every day of the loan life. The Model presents the following cash flows in a financial statement format:

Regular Principal and Interest Receipts
Foreclosure Receipts
Payoff Amounts - P&I, Escrows, Advances, Late Fees
Escrows Collected - Tax, Insurance, Premiums
Investor Remittances
Escrow Disbursements
Foreclosure Losses

We use different Delinquency Patterns to determine the cost per loan

Servicing Costs per Loan used by the Model are:

Regular Servicing Costs
Delinquent Servicing Costs
Thirty Day Collection Cost
Payoff Cost
Foreclosure Servicing Costs
Foreclosure Losses
Conversion Costs

Servicing Revenues

Servicing Fees
Late Fees - includes current month late fees
Ancillary Income that applies to all loans
Special Insurance Solicitation Income

P&I Balance Determination - KAL_II will calculate the daily P&I balances. The Model will calculate the initial P&I balances from delinquency and amortization data.

Escrow Balance Determination - It is not necessary to estimate the initial escrow balances. The Model will determine the escrow balance during every month of the loan life while taking delinquencies, payoffs, remittances and foreclosures into consideration.

Financing Analysis - KAL_II does a comprehensive analysis of the financing used to acquire servicing portfolios.


ECONOMIC VARIABLES

Economic Firm Screen S210

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Economic Data 
                        Change Data

                        Name of Econ File
                        Inflation Forecast
                        Market Index
 
                        Quit Menu   

Our Model allows for the important rates and factors to be set independently or set as a spread from the economic factors. If set as a spread then a change in a single variable will change all dependent variables at the same time. We do not use the economic data files in this analysis. We set all Inflation and Interest factors as separate, independent variables.

Economic Screen S211

                Standard        Model Comparison

                        Economic Data 
                        Change Data
 
                        Title: Standard Model Comparison 

Title - To complete an analysis, the Model requires an Economic, Firm, and Portfolio file. We labeled this file only for identification purposes.

Economic Screen S212

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Economic Data
                        Change Data

                        Inflation Rate
                        Thru            Annual
                        Month           Rate
                        360             0.000000

We do not use the General Inflation Factor.

Economic Screen S213

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Economic Data 
                        Change Data

                        Interest Rate Forecast
                        Thru            annual
                        Month           Rate
                         360            .000000

We do not use the Market Index (Interest Rate Forecast) in this analysis.


FIRM VARIABLES

These are variables which are unique to an individual company. The variables do not usually change with different portfolios. The only exception is the interest paid on impounds. With the KAL_II Model you can set the impound payment rate for each portfolio or you can set it for the Firm. In our example we did not pay interest on the impound accounts.

Each of the Firm rates has been set as an actual table rate. Set each rate separately as we come to it. This is an opportunity to view the models full capability.

Although the KAL_II Model allows for a maximum of ten rate changes for each of the Inflation and Interest tables we will use only one rate for the entire analysis period.

Firm Screen S310        

        Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Firm Data 
                        Change Data

                ->>     Name of Firm File

                        After Tax Discount
                        Cost of Advances
                        Equity Discount
                        Fixed Costs, Interest, Amortization
                        Impound Earnings
                        Methods of Amortization
                        Pay on Impounds
                        Reinvestment Rate
                        Tax Rate
                        Use of Bank Balances
        
                        Quit this menu

This is the Main Screen for the Firm Data Section. The screen lists all the possible inputs for a single firm. It is possible to create and save different firm files. Use these different firm files to value the same portfolio.

Firm Screen S311

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Firm Data 
                        Change Data

                ->>     Name of Firm File

                        Quit this menu

                Title:  Standard Model Comparison

Title - The Model displays this name across the top of the computer screen. This helps to remember which portfolio or firm file you are using.

Firm Screen S312

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Firm Data 
                        Change Data

                        After Tax Discount
                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate

                         360      0.080000                                      

After Tax Discount - Remember to use the after tax discount. If your other model does not allow for an after tax discount, then use the corporate tax rate to calculate the discount directly.

Firm Screen S313

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Firm Data
                        Change Data

                        Cost of Advances
                Key to Cost of Advances :  1  (1=actual,2=spread)

                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate
                        360      0.100000                                       

Cost of Advances - This is the rate paid on the advances that are made to the investors. Most models use this rate. Enter the same rate in each model.

Firm Screen S314

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Firm Data 
                        Change Data

                        Equity Discount
                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate

                        360      0.150000                                       

Equity Discount - The equity discount determines the present value of the cash flows after debt service. If your other model does a post debt analysis, then use the same number on each model.

Firm Screen S315

                Standard                Standard Model Comparison
                                        Firm Data 
                                        Change Data

                        Fixed Costs, Interest, Amortization
                Year       Existing    ---Existing Debt---     Existing
                          Fixed Cost   Principal   Interest   Amortization
                  1.           0          0           0          0
                  2.           0          0           0          0
                  3.           0          0           0          0
                  4.           0          0           0          0
                  5.           0          0           0          0              

Fixed Costs, Interest and Amortization - With the KAL_II Model you can develop a Five Year Budget. In order to do this effectively you must add fixed costs to the analysis. These are costs associated with this particular portfolio or group of portfolios.

Use this information to develop a consolidated financial plan. The plan may include all portfolios on the books and any additions or deletions that might occur over the next five years.

Enter all zeros in this section.

Firm Screen S316

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Firm Data 
                                Change Data

                Key to Impound Earnings Rate : 1  (1=actual,2=spread)

                                Impound Earnings
                                Thru       Annual
                                Month      Rate
                                 360     0.080000                               

Impound Earnings - This is the interest rate that the escrow balances earn. Most models use this rate and it can be the same for both models.

Firm Screen S317

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Firm Data 
                                Change Data

                        Methods of Amortization
 
                Fraction Purchase Price Expensed :    0.000000
                Fraction Conversion Cost Expensed:    1.000000

                Amortization of Purchase & Conversion:    1
                     (0 = None             )
                     (1 = Straight Line    )
                     (2 = F.A.S.B. Method  )
                     (3 = Declining Balance)
                     (4 = Sum-Years-Digits )

                Years to Amortize Over          10                              

Fraction Expensed - In this example we amortized the purchase price. However, we expensed the conversion cost in the first year.

Amortization Methods - It is best to use a straight line amortization method when comparing different models. There are many methods available and the models may treat the methods differently. The F.A.S.B. method of amortization would make the valuation results vary more than the other methods.

Firm Screen S318

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Firm Data 
                                Change Data

                Key Rate Paid on Impounds :  1  (1=actual,2=spread)

                                Pay on Impounds
                                Thru       Annual
                                Month      Rate
                                 360      0.000000                              

Pay on Impounds - This the annual interest paid to the mortgagors on their impound accounts. Both models should use the same interest rate. If your other model uses a spread from the earnings rate then enter that total rate into the KAL_II table in the relevant section.

Firm Screen S319

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Firm Data 
                                Change Data

                                Reinvestment Rate
                Key to Reinvestment Rate :  1   (1=actual, 2=spread)
        
                                Thru    Annual
                                Month    Rate
                                 360    0.080000           

Reinvestment Rate - The Model uses the reinvestment rate to determine the modified internal rate of return. If your model does not calculate the modified internal rate of return then set the reinvestment rate equal to the discount rate. This will not affect the present value or break-even price in the pre-debt analysis.

Firm Screen S31-10
                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Firm Data 
                                Change Data
        
                                  Tax Rate
                                Thru    Annual
                                Month   Rate
                                 360    0.350000                                10




Tax Rate - Every Model uses some form of tax rate. Use the same rate in both models.

Screen S31-11
        Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Firm Data 
                                Change Data

                Fraction of P&I Bank Balances Usable:           1.00000
                Fraction of T&I Bank Balances Usable:           1.00000         




Fraction of P&I/T&I Bank Balances Usable - Most models allow for only a fraction of the Bank Balances to be useable during the month. If the model that you are comparing to does not have this feature then set the Bank Balance field to 100%.


LOAN PORTFOLIO VARIABLES

Portfolio Screen - S410

        Standard        Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        How Categories Defined          *

                        Amortization Factors
                        Beginning Status                        *
                        Cashiering Patterns             *
                        Debt Financing                  *
                        Extra Income Sources            **
                        Foreclosure                             **
                        Growth & Other Tables           **
                        Impound
                        Late Fee                                **
                        Miscellaneous
                        Payoffs
                        Remittance Process
                        Service Fees
                        Transition and Cost             **
                        Quit Menu       


* - We do not use these data screens in the comparison.

** - These fields can be similar for most portfolios being evaluated by the same company.


This is the KAL_II Loan Portfolio Data Screen. Each line on this screen represents a set of input factors that you enter as data to the KAL_II Model. It is not necessary to enter all the input factors. You can determine a value for the servicing from a minimum set of portfolio segment data. As you expand the valuation you will be able to determine a more accurate value for loan servicing.

What we are going to do in this section of the report is to show how you can use the KAL_II Model to compare valuation results from other models. I have not chosen a specific model but have provided a set of guidelines to use when running comparisons. No two models will compare exactly. The reason for this is that each model uses a different set of assumptions. One model may discount annual cash flows while another may discount monthly cash flows. Each model uses different assumptions such as when the loans payoff during the discounting period.


1. HOW LOAN CATEGORIES ARE DEFINED

The KAL_II Model breaks down the delinquencies into the actual categories used by the company doing the analysis or by the company selling the servicing. To simplify the comparison we have eliminated all but the two most commonly used categories, delinquent and foreclosure.

The determination of the effects of different delinquency patterns is one of the key advantages of the KAL_II Model. In our Model, servicing costs are a function of the normal servicing costs and the delinquent servicing costs. Changing the delinquency pattern over future years will show you the financial effects on the portfolio value.

Portfolio Screen - S411

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Loan Portfolios
                                Change Data

                Definition of Loan Status Categories

                        Status                  Length in Months
                         0      Good Loan               1
                         1      Delinquen               1
                         2      Foreclose               1
                         3      Off Books               0                       


Good Loan - All portfolios must have "Good Loan" as the first category. This category is always one month long.

Delinquent - We use a one month delinquency category in the comparison. The Model will only charge a single month's late fee for each delinquent loan. Other models use a field called "Average Months Delinquent" to calculate the late fee income. If we set the Delinquent period to "two", that will represent an average delinquency of two months. If the period is two months long then there will be two late fee charges for each delinquent loan. The additional financial data required to determine the late fees is presented later in this article.

Other models will often price higher as you increase the delinquency ratios. There are several reasons this happens. First, no allowance is made for the late fees not collected when the loans foreclose. Second, no allowance is made for the higher servicing costs which results from the increased delinquencies. Finally, no allowance is made for the timing of the late fee collection.

Foreclosure - Normally we would allow from six to nine months to foreclose a loan. By setting our foreclosure period to one month we can simulate how other models use the foreclosure information. In this comparison, the foreclosure ratio entered in the Transition and Cost Section will equal the percentage of loans that complete foreclosure each month. The initial foreclosure ratio is set to zero. We assume we are not buying the current foreclosures.

Off Books - All Portfolio definitions must have Off Books as the last status. The Off Books status is always "0" months long.


2. PORTFOLIO AMORTIZATION INFORMATION

This section contains amortization information for a specific portfolio segment. The portfolio segment we are comparing is representative of GNMA I loan servicing.

Portfolio Screen S4120

Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                Loan Portfolios
                Change Data
                Amortization Factors

Title of Portfolio:             Standard Model Comparison
Number of Loans:                 1000
How Enter Balance:              1       (1=Average, 2=Total)
Loan Balance                    50000   (Prior to This Month's Payment)

Original Amort Pd:              360     (Months)
Original Maturity:              360     (Months)
Average Loan Age:               12      (Months = Maturity-Remaining Life)
Portfolio Category:             P       (P=Purchase, E=Exist, N=New Prod)
When Become Active:             0       (Number of months in future,0=Now)

Type of Loans:                  1       (1=Fixed, 2=GPM, 3=ARM)

Fixed Interest Rate:            .11     Annual Percent          




Every Model uses the information in this screen. The key input fields are:

Number of Loans - Enter the beginning number of loans

How Enter Balance - The balance can be enter either as a single total or as a total per loan.

Portfolio Category and When Become Active - This variable will determine when to add the new loan servicing to the current portfolio. If you want to simulate your production, purchases, and sales over the next five years, this is the ideal tool. You can start a portfolio any time within the next five years. In this case we show the portfolio beginning on the first day of the analysis.

Type of Loan - Enter "1" for a fixed rate loan type. The Model can also evaluate Adjustable Rate Mortgage loans and Graduated Payment Mortgage loans.


3. BEGINNING LOAN STATUS

Screen S413

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                Beginning Loan Distribution

                Initial Loan Status Entered As -->>           1

                Number of Loans:                        1000.00

                Status     Percentage

                Good Loan    1.0000
                Delinquen    0.0
                Foreclose    0.0

                Entry-->>        <<

                (Pct Left to Allocate  0.000000)        




Initial Loan Status - The KAL_II Model will accept the initial status in either delinquency loan counts or delinquency ratios. A "1" tells the program to expect delinquency ratios.

Good Loan - This is the number or percentage of loans that are current an the end of each period. We begin with a portfolio that is 100% current.



4. CASHIERING PATTERNS

To determine the daily cash flows you must tell the KAL_II model how you expect to receive the cash during the month. There are four patterns that are usually examined:

1. Mortgagor receipts from current loans
2. Mortgagor receipts from delinquent loans
3. P&I, late fees, service fees, etc. received from payoffs
4. Cash received from loans completing foreclosure


The KAL_II Model uses this information to determine the current month's late charges and also the changes that will occur in the P&I and T&I accounts. All monies received from payoffs, foreclosures and loans coming current are posted on a daily basis to the relevant bank accounts. All investor and impound remittances are also shown on a daily basis.

Portfolio Screen S4141

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Loan Portfolios
                                Change Data

                                Cashiering Patterns
        
                      Current Loans  Delinquent
                Day   Still Current  Coming Good   Payoffs   Foreclosure
        
                  1      1.000000     1.000000    1.000000    1.000000
                  2
                  3
                  4 
                  5 
                  6
                  7
                ...
                ...
                ...
                 27
                 28
                 29
                 30     1.000000     1.000000     1.000000   1.000000




Cashiering Patterns - We set the patterns to show all cash received on the first day of the month. This will duplicate the assumptions that most other models use. We will set the number of days to hold the P&I in a latter section of the model.

In the KAL_II Model we present each of these screens separately. We have combined them for the purposes of presentation in this report.


5. DEBT FINANCING

Many models perform some degree of debt financing analysis. The KAL_II Model does an after debt service analysis that includes the determination of the present value, internal rate of return and break-even price.

We will not use these functions for purposes of the comparison. Turn these features off by entering zero in each data entry field.

Portfolio Screen S4150

        Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Debt Factors
        Fraction Financed with Debt  : 0.0000 (0.0 to 1.0 Purchase Price)

        Key to Debt Interest Rate    :      1 (1=actual,2=spread market)

        Months Between Principal Pmts:      1

        Key to Repayment Method      :      1
          (1 = Use up available funds )
          (2 = Equal Principal Payment)
          (3 = Equal to Amortization  )

        For Equal Payments:
        Number of Years of Payments  :      1                           




Fraction Financed With Debt - This is the portion of the portfolio financed with debt. The debt interest rate table follows this screen.

Key to Debt Interest Rate - The debt interest rate can be the market interest index or a specific debt interest rate.

Key to Debt Repayment Method - There are three methods allowed for the debt repayment.

Months Between Principal Payments - This determines how often the principal repayments occur.

Number of Years of Payments - This applies if you use equal principal payments to retire the debt.

Portfolio Screen S4151

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Annual Debt Rate
                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate
                         360       0.00000      



6. EXTRA INCOME SOURCES

Extra Income Screen S4160

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Loan Portfolios
                                Change Data

                                Extra Income Sources

                Income that applies to all loans--------------------------
                        Extra Income     :     12.00  ($/Loan/Year)
                        Key to Growth    :         2  (1=Inf, 2=Table)

                Customer Base Cross Selling (Servicing Premiums)----------
                        Monthly Premium  :      0.00  (per Loan           )
                        Commission       :  0.000000  (Fraction of Premium)
                        Key Premium Growth:        2  (1=Inf, 2=Table     )
                        Current Balance  :         0                     




(1) Income That Applies to All Loans - This is the amount per loan that is usually titled "Ancillary Income". We multiply this amount times all loans in the portfolio. Enter the dollars per loan that you expect to earn in ancillary income on all loans. If you are using the late fee data fields then do not include the amount of income you expect to earn from late fees in this section.

(2) Servicing Premiums - This is also called insurance solicitation income or premium income. When you enter all zeros in these fields you effectively turn off this option.

Portfolio Screen S4161

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Premium Penetration Table
                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate
                         360       0.00000


Portfolio Screen S4162
                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Ancillary Income Growth
                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate
                         360       0.04000      


Portfolio Screen S4163
                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Premium Growth
                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate
                         360       0.00000              





7. FORECLOSURE FACTORS

Portfolio Screen S417

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Loan Portfolios
                                Change Data

                                Foreclosure Factors

                Hard Out-of-Pocket Cost    :       1500
        
                Hard Costs Recovered       :   0.000000
                Service Fees Recovered     :   0.000000
                P&I Advances Recovered     :   1.000000
                Tax & Ins Advances Recov   :   1.000000

                Interest Payments Lost     :          0
                Principal Balance Lost     :   0.000000 




Hard Costs - These are losses associated with a foreclosed loan. In our comparison we will set this variable to be the total amount lost, from any source, due to foreclosure. This eliminates the need to determine what the other foreclosure losses might be.

Service Fees - Our Model assumes that you do not recover service fees for foreclosures. In reality, foreclosures last longer than one month. This one month assumption means that most models will collect service fees on loans through the entire foreclosure process. As a results, only the last month services fees are lost.

P&I, T&I Advances Recovered - In this comparison we assume that we recover all advances. The Hard Cost field includes the total amount lost. The hard cost field should also include any advances you do not expect to recover.

Interest Payments Lost - We do not use this filed in our comparison.

Principal Balance Lost - We do not use this field in our comparison.


8. GROWTH AND OTHER TABLES

Screen S4180
                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Growth & Other Tables

                                Ancillary Income
                                Debt Interest Rate
                                Extra Premium Growth
                                Insurance Impound Growth
                                Premium Penetration
                        -->>    Servicing Cost Growth
                                Tax Impound Growth      


The only table in this section that is not found elsewhere is the Servicing Cost Growth Table. Use this section to examine or change the other tables. It is best to enter the table data in the order that the program follows.

SERVICING COST INFLATION

Portfolio Screen S41-111

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Growth Service Costs
                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate
                         360      0.040000      




Service Cost Inflation - This is a standard feature on most models. Enter the annual inflation rate of the servicing costs. The rate will apply to all servicing costs including foreclosure costs, delinquency costs, payoff costs and collection costs.


9. TAX AND INSURANCE IMPOUNDS

In KAL_II you enter the average monthly tax and insurance payment amount. You do not enter an estimate of the monthly balance of the impound accounts. To make comparisons with other models you must first estimate the monthly impound payments. The Model then simulates the monthly receipts and disbursements. You can determine these receipts and disbursements by using the backup screens in the portfolio section of the KAL_II Model.

Impounds - Major Screen

Portfolio Screen S4190

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios

                        Impound Inputs

                    -->>        Balances and Indexes
                        How Paid Out During Year
                        Insurance Growth Rate (if not inflation)
                        Property Tax Growth Rate (if not inflation)
                        Rate Paid to Borrowers on Impounds

                        Quit Menu       


These screens are available to enter impound information on a portfolio segment. We do not use all the screens in our comparison but it is still important to go through the process of setting values for each of the variables. This insures that the Model will not use incorrect data fields.

Balances and Indexes - Minor Screen

Portfolio Screen S4191

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data
                        Impound Information
 
                Monthly Property Tax :  50.00  (Average Per Loan           )
                Key to Growth Rate   :      2  (1=Inflation, 2=Growth Table)
                How Tax Impound Grows:      2  (1=Monthly,   2=Annually    )

                Monthly Insurance Pmt:  30.00  (Average Per Loan           )
                Key to Growth Rate   :      2  (1=Inflation, 2=Growth Table)
                How Ins Impound Grows:      2  (1=Monthly,   2=Annually    )

                Initial Impound Balance:          1     (1=Calculate, 2=Input)

                Extra Months Tax   :              0
                Extra Months Ins   :              0
 
                Distribute Total Impound :        N     (Y=Yes, N=No)
 
                If Yes, Actual Impound Balance  0


Monthly Property Tax - the average monthly amount paid by the mortgagor. It is an average of all loans in the portfolio segment being analyzed. You can obtain this information from an analysis of your portfolio data.

If you only have a single impound amount to work with then use the tax field as the single impound account.

We adjust the impound balances annually for inflation.

Monthly Insurance Payment - This is the monthly hazard insurance payment collected from the mortgagor.

Initial Impound Balance - The KAL_II Model will determine what the initial impounds should be if the information is not available. To do this, the Model uses the delinquency statuses, the extra months collected, and the impound remittance cycle. Enter a "1" in this field.

Extra Months Tax/Insurance - These fields are set to zero. The fields are normally used to determine the initial impound balances. They are the number of additional months of impound payments held by the mortgagee. Two months is usually the maximum allowed.

Distribute Total Impound - Enter a "N" in this field. The Model will calculate what the initial impound balances should be based on the delinquency ratios and the extra months of reserves required by the mortgagee.

Actual Impound Balance - We do not use this field in the comparison.

FIELDS USED BY OTHER MODELS

Average Impounds per Loan - In order to compare with other models it is necessary to determine what amount to enter in the monthly payment field that will create the average escrow balance for the year. If we assume that we pay taxes once a year then the average balance would occur six months after the start of the portfolio. This balance would represent the average for a full year (the impound account contains 0 payments in January and at 12 payments in December). It is necessary divide by the number of loans in existence in the sixth month to see if you have determined the correct monthly payment.

Impounds as a Percent of Principal Balance - Some models use a percentage of principal balance to determine the impounds. This represents a percentage of the principal balance at the end of the six months of payments. Determine the dollar amount of the impound balance and divide by the number of loans in existence in the sixth month. The result is the average monthly impound payment.


How Paid Out During Year - Minor Screen

Portfolio Screen S4192

        Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Impound Payments
        Number of Required Payments to be Paid Out in Each Future Month
 
        Property Tax Acct   Insurance Acct    Impound Interest
        Month  Payments     Month  Payments   Month  Payments
          1 -     0           1 -     0         1 -     0
          2 -     0           2 -     0         2 -     0
          3 -     0           3 -     0         3 -     0
          4 -     0           4 -     0         4 -     0
          5 -     0           5 -     0         5 -     0
          6 -     0           6 -     0         6 -     0
          7 -     0           7 -     0         7 -     0
          8 -     0           8 -     0         8 -     0
          9 -     0           9 -     0         9 -     0
         10 -     0          10 -     0        10 -     0
         11 -     0          11 -     0        11 -     0
         12 -    12          12 -    12        12 -    12               




REMITTANCE PATTERNS FOR IMPOUNDS

Impounds are paid monthly according to the tax payment dates or according to the insurance policy date. You can estimate the remittance schedules by monitoring the impound accounts on your servicing system. Since this feature is not available on most models we will make the basic assumption that we pay escrows once a year. We have already set the individual tax and insurance monthly payments to reflect an average balance for the year.

Month - the month following the addition or starting of the portfolio.

Property Tax to State - the number of months of tax or insurance payments you remit during a particular month. These fields are set up to remit twelve payments in the twelfth month following the start of the portfolio.

Insurance Growth Rate - Minor Screen

Portfolio Screen S4193

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Insurance Impound Inflation
                        Thru         Annual
                        Month        Rate
                         360        0.040000            


Insurance Impound Inflation - There are several alternatives to use for this field:

1. General inflation factor
2. Inflation on impounds
3. Specific insurance inflation factor

Property Tax Growth Rate - Minor Screen

Portfolio Screen S4194

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Loan Portfolios
                                Change Data

                        Property Tax Inflation
                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate
                         360      0.040000      


Property Tax Inflation - If your other model allows for inflation of tax impounds then set this value to the same rate. Your model may have separate values for inflation on tax and hazard insurance. In this case, enter each inflation rate separately.

Rate Paid to Borrowers on Impounds - Minor Screen

Portfolio Screen S4195

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Pay on Impounds
                Key to Rate Paid on Impounds : 1  
                                (0=Use Firm Rate, 1=actual,  2=spread)

                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate
                         360      0.000000      


Pay on Impounds - Use this field if you pay interest on the impound accounts. For our example we set this field to zero.


10. LATE FEE COLLECTIONS

The KAL_II Model collects late fees on loans that have not made their payment by the late fee trigger date. Other models only collect late fees on loans that have been delinquent thirty days or more. To compare with other models we must turn off the first month late fee field. We accomplished this when we assumed that all funds are received on the first day of the month.

Many models show an increase in value when the delinquency ratios increase. This occurs for several reasons. First, no allowance is made for the increase in servicing cost as a result of the delinquencies. Next, other models do not allow for late fees not collected due to foreclosure. Finally, no allowance is made in other models for the timing of the receipt of the late fees.

(1) Late Fees Triggered - We assume you collect late fees on all loans that are not current as of the late fee trigger date. Other models will only collect late fees as of the first day of the first month of delinquency.

(2) For Previously Good Loans - This cost recognizes the cost of sending the first month collection notice. It may also include the cost of first month collection expenses.

Portfolio Screen S41-10

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Loan Portfolios
                                Change Data
                                Late Fees

                Late Fees Triggered-------------------
                        On Any Payment Received After:  15  (Day of Month)

                        Late Fee on P&I              :  0.040000
                        Late Fee on T&I              :  0.000000
 
                Fraction Late Fees Collected :    0.900000

                For Previously Good Loans Only--------
                        Late Notice Triggered  :   10  (Day of Month)
                        Cost of Late Notice    :  0.00  


Late Fee Triggered - This is the day of the month that you would normally post the late charges to loans that have not made the current payment. We do not use this field since we assumed that all funds are received on the first day of the month.

Late Fee T&I - Most models charge late fees based on the P&I constant of the loan being analyzed. It is also possible that loans pay late fees on the tax and insurance payment. For our comparison we have turned this feature off by setting the amount of penalty equal to zero.

Fraction Fees Collected - This is a standard field used by most servicing models. Enter the value you would normally use.

For Previously Good Loans - The fields in this section are normally used to determine the first month collection expense. We will not use these fields in the comparison.


11. MISCELLANEOUS

Portfolio Screen S41-110

        Standard                Standard Model Comparison
                                Loan Portfolios
                                Change Data

                                Miscellaneous

        Key to Purchase Price        :        1  (1=Pct,2=Dollars)
        Price as Fraction of Balance : 0.020000  (Enter 1% as .01 )
        Price in Dollars             :     0.00

        Key to Conversion Costs      :        1  (1=Per Loan,2=Total)
                Conversion Cost Amount       :     0.00

        Key to Growth Service Costs  :        2  (1=Inf, 2=Table)

(S41-111 Servicing Cost Growth Table is in Growth & Other Tables)







Purchase Price - You can enter the purchase price as total dollars or as a percent of the principal balance. In our example we used a purchase price of 2% of the principal balance. This amount is amortized over the period defined in the firm data section. Amortization significantly affects the present value and the cash flows. It will not affect the break-even price.

Conversion Costs - If the other model uses conversion costs then set both fields to the same amount.

Growth in Servicing Costs - This is the specific inflation factor for the servicing costs. The servicing cost inflation factor is entered in the "Growth and Other Tables" section of the Model.


12. PAYOFF INFORMATION

The KAL_II Model allows for the following payoff tables:

Estimates of Remaining Loans - You enter exactly what you expect the runoff to be over the next thirty years. The actual remaining balance is set for each of ten periods.

F.H.A. Experience - This is the F.H.A. experience table. You can set the runoff to a factor times 100% of F.H.A.

Constant Percentage - CPR - The runoff is equal to this percentage times the remaining loan count.

Public Services Administration - P.S.A. - This is a combination of two methods, F.H.A. and CPR. It is entered as a factor times 100% of PSA.

Portfolio Screen S41-120

                Standard        Model Comparison
                                Loan Portfolios
                                Change Data

                                Payoffs
                General Factors---
                        Cost to Process Payoff          0.00
                        Interest Owed on Payoff    2
                
                Forecasting Parameters---
                        1. Estimates of Remaining Loans
                        2. F.H.A. Experience             1.00
                        3. Constant Percentage
                        4. P.S.A.
                
                Choice of Method---
                        Select Method                     2
                
                        Quit this menu  


Cost to Process - KAL_II uses many different servicing costs to determine the value of the portfolio. This information is also used to calculate the Five Year Budget and the Projected Income Statements. Very few models use any factor beyond a single cost per loan. We will set all other costs in this comparison to "$0.00" and use a single cost per loan.

Days Interest Owed - The number of days that the mortgagor owes the mortgagee upon payoff. Set this factor to two. Make sure the interest owed on payoffs field (remittance table) agrees with this factor.

Payoff Experience - We use FHA in this example because most models will allow this option.

Select Method - You must select the method you are using.


13. REMITTANCE PROCESSING

The KAL_II Model allows for a very detail description of the investor remittance schedule. The monthly remittance is broken down into two components:

1. Surviving Loans - The normal monthly remittance of interest and amortized principal. The only factor used on this screen will be Day of Month to Remit. The day you remit will determine how large the P&I balance will become before it is remitted to the investor. By altering this day you can change the average P&I balance for this portfolio.


2. Loans Paying Off - The principal balance from loans paying off is treated separately. When loans pay off the servicer holds the principal balance for a predetermined amount of time. Increased runoff will significantly increase the payoff amounts and, in turn, increase the earnings on P&I. We will set this factor to "5" as an estimate of what most other models would use.


Remittance Pattern Screen

Portfolio Screen S41-130

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                                Loan Portfolios
                                Change Data

                        Remittance Processing
                        Key to Type of Servicing :  a
                                ( a. GNMA 1       )
                                ( b. GNMA 2       )
                                ( c. FNMA MBS     )
                                ( d. FNMA AES     )
                                ( e. FHLMC PC     )
                                ( f. Other        )

Remittance Pattern Information

Portfolio Screen S41-13f

        Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data
                        Remittance Processing

                Description of Servicing Method:      GNMA I/Standard
 
                For Surviving Loans---------------
             Delay in Remitting Payments       :   0  (Months          )
             Day of Month to Remit             :  15  (0 = Pass Through)
             Must Deposit All Funds            :   Y  (Y=Yes, N=No     )
             Advance Required                  :   2  (0, 1=Int, 2=P&I )
             Maximum Period of Advances        : 360  (Months          )
             Remittance Clears Same Day        :   Y  (Y=Yes, N=No     )
             Calculate Initial P&I Receivables :   Y  (Y=Yes, N=No     )

        For Loans Paying Off--------------
             Interest Owed on Payoffs          :   2  (0,1=Days,2=Full)
             Must Pass Payoffs As Received     :   N  (Y=Yes, N=No    )
             (if Yes, Days to Wait Until Pass)     0  (Days    )
             (if No, Delay in Passing Payoff)      1  (Months 1)                


Description - KAL_II provides most standard investor remittances as part of the program. There is also a field for User Defined remittance patterns (Selection f). Use this field when defining the "Standard" remittance pattern.

Delay in Remitting Payments - Enter "0".

Day of Month to Remit - Entering 20 in this field will tell the Model that you expect to hold the P&I amounts for 20 days before sending the money to the investor. You can determine what the average P&I balance is dividing the Average Yearly P&I Balance (Portfolio Section of KAL_II) by the portfolio balance.

Must Deposit - Enter "Y".

Advance Required - This is the principal or interest advance that many investors require. GNMA I loan servicing requires that you advance both principal and interest.. The size of the advance is determined by the delinquency ratio and the average number of months that the loans are delinquent. KAL_II will automatically determine the required advance on a daily basis. Other programs hold this advance constant while the delinquency ratios vary.

Maximum Period of Advance - Set this field to a maximum of 360 months.



14. SERVICE FEES

Portfolio Screen S41-14

                Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

                        Servicing Fees

                Type of Fees  : 1  (1=Pct of Balance, 2=Dollars/Loan)

                        Thru       Annual
                        Month      Rate
                         360      0.004400      




Servicing Fees can be either in

1. basis points or

2. dollars per loan.

The loans we are evaluating have a 44 basis point servicing fee.


15. TRANSITION TABLES

KAL_II uses Transition Tables to show how the portfolio changes over time in relation to:

1. Probability of delinquency patterns

2. Payoffs within each delinquency category

3. Costs to service good loans

4. Costs to service each delinquency category

Portfolio Screen S41-15

Standard        Standard Model Comparison
                        Loan Portfolios
                        Change Data

Transition Table:  1

Which Applies from Month:  1 thru Month:  360

From            Prob Move on    Prob Pay        Cost to Process When
Status          To This Status  Fully              In This Status

Good Loan - Del 1 Mon  0.0300  Computed Good Loan    80.00  Annually
Delinquen - Foreclose  0.0340  Computed Delinquen     0.00  Per Month
Foreclose - Off Books  1.0000  Computed Foreclose     0.00  Per Month



Transition Table - The KAL_II Model allows for nine separate transition tables. Each table can have a unique set of characteristics. We use a single table for the life of the loan in this comparison.

From Status - This describes the different loan status categories that were set up in the "How Categories Defined Section". No input is necessary for these fields.

Probable Move to This Status - We are using only one delinquency category and we are defining that category as one month long. The delinquency ratio will be equal to the probability or 3%. The foreclosure category is one month long and is equal to .03 times .034 or .1% a month.

Prob Pay Fully - You can set this field to individual payoff ratios for each loan status category. By entering " Computed" you direct the Model to use the payoff experience that you entered earlier in the model.

Cost to Process - We use a single cost of $80.00 per loan to define our servicing cost. This is an all inclusive number. We did not use any other costs in the analysis. This allows a direct comparison with other models' servicing cost number.